Aave

Aave Accumulation/Distribution

AAVE · Rank #38
Price
$160.30
Market Cap
$2,474,399,135
24h Volume
$255,641,268
Circulating Supply
15,436,248

What to expect next: AAVE move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

AAVE is likely to stay within ±5.0% over the next 24 hours, and within ±2.4% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±5.0%
$153.87 – $169.78
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±9.1%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±6.4%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±2.4%
$157.78 – $165.58
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±4.7%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±2.8%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Normal
Last 24h: 5.1% · 30-day typical day: 4.8%
calmestwildest
Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
0.7× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 0.7 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance AAVEUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
1.6% a year
0.0014% per 8h
month lowmonth high
Longs are paying shorts 0.0014% every 8 hours (1.6% a year), 20th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Open interest
+25.0% 24h
Open interest is $61.8M, up 25.0% in 24 hours: positions are being opened on balance.
Too little history to test yet
Who is long
65% of top-trader positions
59% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.026%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.026%, 68th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
+5.7%
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the spot market were ahead by 5.7% of turnover over 24 hours, a strong reading for this coin (82nd percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
+5.9%
futures volume 6.1× spot
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the futures market were ahead by 5.9% of turnover over 24 hours, an extreme reading for this coin (99th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
217 trades
0.9× the past week's daily pace
217 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $6.4M in all, with buyers ahead by $1.5M. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour $-57,497 47.4% $1,094,022 5,769
4 Hours +$19,030 50.3% $3,028,373 20,224
1 Day +$968,815 52.3% $21,150,588 201,748
Is that normal for Aave?

The latest daily buy ratio of 52.3% sits at the 82nd percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 49.8% - stronger buying than most days. Volume ran 1.45 times a typical day, busier than 77% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above AAVE's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$160.04 +2.43%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
219 -1.8%
Net Buy/Sell
+$1,334,093
Total Amount
$6,230,785 -21.2%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:16 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 15:49 $160.45 $34,658 Sell
2026-10-16 14:46 $162.05 $37,963 Sell
2026-10-16 14:37 $163.22 $67,703 Sell
2026-10-16 14:16 $163.33 $42,689 Buy
2026-10-16 14:15 $163.13 $110,618 Sell
2026-10-16 13:29 $165.12 $65,098 Sell
2026-10-16 11:59 $160.83 $45,235 Buy
2026-10-16 11:50 $161.06 $42,217 Buy
2026-10-16 11:41 $161.04 $80,467 Sell
2026-10-16 11:17 $161.81 $38,505 Buy
2026-10-16 11:02 $161.13 $52,914 Buy
2026-10-16 10:12 $161.00 $44,934 Buy
2026-10-16 09:17 $161.17 $51,156 Buy
2026-10-16 09:12 $160.95 $43,276 Buy
2026-10-16 08:29 $159.76 $35,695 Buy
2026-10-16 07:43 $159.36 $47,136 Sell
2026-10-16 05:57 $158.60 $100,489 Buy
2026-10-16 05:33 $157.96 $204,796 Sell
2026-10-16 05:02 $158.39 $80,892 Buy
2026-10-16 05:00 $158.45 $43,104 Sell
2026-10-16 04:38 $160.16 $86,618 Buy
2026-10-16 04:24 $159.92 $43,212 Buy
2026-10-16 03:14 $158.52 $490,384 Buy
2026-10-16 02:05 $157.45 $125,101 Sell
2026-10-16 01:39 $157.50 $54,061 Buy
2026-10-16 00:02 $158.51 $84,512 Buy
2026-10-15 23:45 $157.63 $79,273 Buy
2026-10-15 23:21 $158.01 $49,400 Buy
2026-10-15 21:25 $156.75 $73,026 Buy
2026-10-15 21:25 $156.75 $83,630 Buy
2026-10-15 18:27 $155.41 $49,367 Sell
2026-10-15 17:53 $156.25 $46,586 Sell
2026-10-15 17:49 $156.13 $39,918 Sell
2026-10-15 17:44 $156.32 $37,137 Sell
2026-10-15 17:43 $156.58 $45,251 Buy
2026-10-15 17:39 $156.50 $43,756 Buy
2026-10-15 16:51 $152.68 $46,326 Buy
2026-10-15 16:44 $152.34 $114,473 Buy
2026-10-15 16:44 $152.34 $160,778 Buy
2026-10-15 16:36 $151.09 $96,365 Sell
2026-10-15 16:31 $150.56 $88,375 Sell
2026-10-15 16:30 $150.63 $41,060 Sell

What Aave's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for AAVE, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $14.6M across 150,052 trades, which works out at about $97 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 52.26% against a median of 49.76%. That is the 82nd percentile of the days measured, which makes it leaning, but within its normal range. Turnover came to $21.2M, 1.4 times the median day.

Net taker flow has not settled into a run: the side crossing the spread in greater size changed within the last three days.

The heaviest day on record is $105.7M on 8 November 2025, and the busiest by count is 728,560 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 23.68% on 21 August 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and AAVE can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Aave News

Each story read against AAVE's Binance order flow at the time it broke

Aave News Map - every story placed against the price →

All AAVE news →

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