Market readout: how far each coin is likely to move

Whalio cannot tell you which way a coin will go - we tested that, and nothing in this data predicts direction well enough to trade. It can tell you how far a coin is likely to move. That is what the first two columns are. The rest describe the state of each market, and the labels below say what each has and has not been shown to be good for.

How often the 80% range held · backtest
82.2% 24h · 81.2% 4h
Every hour of the last 90 days on 139 coins, 300,015 forecasts each. Coins ranged 75–93% for the 24-hour range.
How often the 95% range held
95.1% 24h · 95.7% 4h
Same windows. The ranges are for the closing price; the furthest swing along the way is shown on each coin's page.
Live record, as published
78.8% 24h
7,923 published 24-hour ranges since 2026-10-12 whose window has closed.
# Coin 24h range 4h range Volatility rank Volume Funding Open int. 24h Top traders long Spot flow Futures flow Price
1 BTC Bitcoin ±2.3% ±1.0% 87 1.1× 7.4% +5.0% 59% 26 73 $82,641
2 ETH Ethereum ±3.0% ±1.3% 93wild 1.1×burst 5.1% +20.9% 61% 85 92 $2,478
4 BNB BNB ±2.4% ±1.0% 80 0.9× 0.0% +0.4% 52% 2 75 $732.12
5 XRP XRP ±3.6% ±1.4% 57 0.5× 10.5% +59.8% 66% 54 77 $1.35
7 SOL Solana ±3.8% ±1.5% 81 0.8× 9.1% -0.2% 68% 88 53 $106.61
8 TRX TRON ±1.1% ±0.4% 70 1.2× 11.0%crowded +1.5% 39% 96 49 $0.3357
9 ZEC Zcash ±6.9% ±2.8% 80 0.8× 11.0%crowded -0.9% 60% 92 76 $1,235
11 DOGE Dogecoin ±4.3% ±1.7% 64 1.5× 8.8% +63.7% 76% 1 89 $0.08243
13 LINK Chainlink ±4.6% ±1.8% 79 0.7× -0.6% +25.3% 71% 81 93 $12.71
14 ADA Cardano ±5.0% ±1.9% 47 0.5× 7.5% +50.4% 62% 38 98 $0.2316
16 NEAR NEAR Protocol ±9.7% ±4.0% 81 1.0× 10.5% +164.1% 72% 88 67 $5.32
17 XLM Stellar ±4.2% ±1.6% 41 0.5× -3.8% +59.4% 64% 46 83 $0.1848
18 BCH Bitcoin Cash ±4.9% ±1.9% 75 0.5× 6.0% +6.7% 67% 97 77 $282.60
19 LTC Litecoin ±4.0% ±1.5% 58 0.6× 11.0%crowded +23.2% 78% 13 94 $61.31
21 UNI Uniswap ±6.9% ±2.8% 83 0.7× 10.4% +88.6% 79% 15 90 $7.48
22 AVAX Avalanche ±5.4% ±2.1% 50 0.6× 7.6% +6.7% 70% 57 95 $10.31
24 SUI Sui ±5.9% ±2.3% 58 0.6× 11.0%crowded +99.0% 67% 69 92 $1.05
28 HBAR Hedera ±4.8% ±1.8% 58 0.5× 6.2% +12.1% 72% 49 51 $0.08713
29 TAO Bittensor ±5.8% ±2.3% 63 0.7× 11.0%crowded +79.6% 78% 63 58 $287.90
31 SHIB Shiba Inu ±3.8% ±1.4% 33 0.5× 7.0% +50.1% 58% 59 95 $0.000005170
32 XAUt Tether Gold ±1.2% ±0.5% 41 1.1× 5.6% -5.4% 80% 90 78 $4,170
35 ENA Ethena ±7.7% ±3.0% 46 0.7× 11.0%crowded +41.7% 64% 95 85 $0.2061
36 QNT Quant ±10.2% ±3.8% 58 0.4× 1.5% +297.7% 62% 82 79 $210.85
37 AAVE Aave ±5.1% ±2.0% 65 0.7× 1.6% +6.7% 65% 91 99 $164.35
40 ONDO Ondo ±6.6% ±2.6% 68 0.6× 11.0%crowded +274.8% 77% 43 74 $0.4727
41 PUMP Pump.fun ±7.9% ±2.9% 19 0.5× 11.0%crowded -34.9% 73% 93 52 $0.004479
42 WLD Worldcoin ±8.6% ±3.7% 100wild 0.9× 11.0%crowded +28.2% 75% 57 95 $0.5391
43 DOT Polkadot ±6.5% ±2.7% 88 1.1×burst 11.0%crowded +191.1% 66% 53 93 $1.17
44 ASTER Aster ±3.5% ±1.3% 38 0.5× 0.1% +3.1% 79% 45 93 $0.7195
46 PAXG PAX Gold ±1.1% ±0.4% 39 0.7× -4.0% +15.8% 79% 29 58 $4,170
47 WLFI World Liberty Fina... ±2.9% ±1.1% 25 0.8×burst 11.0%crowded +301.5% 53% 0 1 $0.05700
50 ICP Internet Computer ±6.2% ±2.5% 68 0.8× 11.0%crowded +6.6% 82% 44 88 $3.08
51 SKY Sky ±5.1% ±1.9% 45 0.5× 9.8% +3.8% 72% 34 67 $0.07305
52 PEPE Pepe ±6.3% ±2.5% 73 0.7× 11.0%crowded +6.5% 61% 72 43 $0.000004100
54 ARB Arbitrum ±7.6% ±3.1% 72 0.7× -6.5% +129.6% 59% 98 100 $0.2014
56 MORPHO Morpho ±5.4% ±2.1% 60 0.6× 11.0%crowded +8.1% 74% 20 69 $2.47
57 ETC Ethereum Classic ±4.5% ±1.7% 50 0.8× 10.8% +38.9% 77% 6 97 $8.09
59 JST JUST ±3.5% ±1.4% 81 1.3× 11.0%crowded -2.4% 55% 49 63 $0.1380
61 ALGO Algorand ±6.6% ±2.6% 72 0.7× 3.2% +1.7% 60% 90 83 $0.1195
64 JUP Jupiter ±6.8% ±2.7% 67 0.6× -15.4% -20.1% 65% 83 66 $0.3125
65 RENDER Render ±7.0% ±2.8% 87 0.7× 11.0%crowded +67.4% 70% 7 49 $1.98
66 POL Polygon (prev. MAT... ±5.1% ±1.9% 34 0.5× -15.9% +84.4% 71% 5 65 $0.09641
67 FIL Filecoin ±8.5% ±3.5% 80 1.3× 11.0%crowded +24.9% 73% 81 93 $1.16
68 ATOM Cosmos ±6.1% ±2.3% 41 0.7× -22.8% +6.7% 67% 11 70 $1.77
69 AERO Aerodrome Finance ±7.7% ±3.3% 88 1.4× -4.7% +383.8% 64% 67 93 $0.9218
71 INJ Injective ±9.4% ±4.2% 92wild 2.8×burst 11.0%crowded +168.8% 63% 97 99 $9.16
72 ZRO LayerZero ±11.6% ±5.0% 97wild 1.4× 11.0%crowded +354.0% 79% 77 99 $2.22
74 APT Aptos ±7.9% ±3.2% 77 1.0× 6.9% +46.8% 71% 100 81 $0.8809
75 STX Stacks ±8.6% ±3.5% 80 0.8× -25.3% +60.2% 50% 91 53 $0.4153
79 CAKE PancakeSwap ±4.5% ±1.7% 62 0.5× 1.6% +8.2% 76% 90 100 $2.23
80 PYTH Pyth Network ±12.0% ±5.5% 98wild 3.2×burst 5.6% +61.0% 64% 94 48 $0.09012
81 ETHFI ether.fi ±7.8% ±3.2% 88 0.9× 11.0%crowded +80.3% 62% 73 68 $0.7026
82 DASH Dash ±5.4% ±2.0% 44 0.4× 11.0%crowded +5.1% 74% 57 99 $50.18
83 TIA Celestia ±11.9% ±5.1% 88 2.8×burst 3.0% +88.9% 60% 98 82 $0.6964
84 VET VeChain ±5.6% ±2.3% 60 1.1× 11.0%crowded +5.6% 63% 19 94 $0.007161
85 STRK Starknet ±20.7% ±8.9% 94wild 2.3×burst -2.3% +110.8% 66% 78 71 $0.07897
87 CRV Curve DAO Token ±6.7% ±2.6% 39 1.0× 7.9% +18.3% 64% 45 100 $0.3503
88 NEXO Nexo ±3.5% ±1.4% 87 1.0× – – – 90 – $0.8220
89 TRUMP OFFICIAL TRUMP ±5.2% ±2.0% 56 0.5× 11.0%crowded +284.0% 68% 46 73 $1.88
90 RAY Raydium ±7.9% ±3.1% 49 0.7× – – – 52 – $1.94
91 SEI Sei ±6.4% ±2.6% 76 0.9× 9.4% +64.9% 80% 81 92 $0.06515
93 FET Artificial Superin... ±7.7% ±3.1% 68 0.9× 11.0%crowded +149.6% 78% 90 94 $0.2072
94 PENGU Pudgy Penguins ±5.7% ±2.2% 44 0.4× 11.0%crowded +138.0% 70% 47 76 $0.007755
96 VIRTUAL Virtuals Protocol ±5.6% ±2.2% 50 0.5× 11.0%crowded -10.8% 67% 64 95 $0.6954
98 XPL Plasma ±7.2% ±3.1% 87 0.9× 11.0%crowded +22.0% 73% 70 99 $0.08521
100 PENDLE Pendle ±6.9% ±2.9% 88 1.0× 1.8% +55.0% 64% 26 87 $2.16
101 FF Falcon Finance ±9.1% ±3.9% 86 3.8× 11.0%crowded +1.9% 81% 1 67 $0.1124
102 XTZ Tezos ±6.3% ±2.5% 85 0.6× 11.0%crowded +7.6% 65% 5 69 $0.3201
105 LDO Lido DAO ±7.2% ±2.9% 71 1.0× 11.0%crowded +46.1% 68% 56 94 $0.4159
106 IMX Immutable ±6.5% ±2.6% 69 0.6× 11.0%crowded +3.3% 62% 90 76 $0.1667
108 OP Optimism ±8.0% ±3.2% 64 1.0× -4.2% +178.2% 64% 74 94 $0.1403
109 SUN Sun [New] ±1.3% ±0.5% 52 0.6× 11.0%crowded +0.2% 59% 3 55 $0.01661
112 GNO Gnosis ±2.7% ±1.0% 25 0.4× – – – 36 – $115.22
113 BAT Basic Attention To... ±16.5% ±7.3% 95wild 3.0×burst -10.6% +2.6% 53% 30 73 $0.2001
114 CFX Conflux ±8.9% ±3.2% 73 0.7× 10.6% +7.6% 60% 76 45 $0.05630
115 KAIA Kaia ±8.9% ±3.0% 26 0.8× -3.7% +274.8% 58% 27 95 $0.04470
116 GRT The Graph ±6.0% ±2.3% 69 0.4× -5.0% +7.9% 67% 48 86 $0.02555
118 BONK Bonk ±5.4% ±2.0% 35 0.4× -27.2% +6.7% 64% 98 85 $0.000003120
119 LUNC Terra Classic ±3.6% ±1.4% 71 0.5× 7.3% +6.8% 73% 97 67 $0.00004888
120 DCR Decred ±4.0% ±1.6% 72 0.6× – – – 6 – $15.13
121 AR Arweave ±7.0% ±2.7% 50 0.4× 3.2% +6.8% 72% 76 90 $4.05
122 JTO Jito ±7.5% ±3.0% 63 1.0× 11.0%crowded +57.3% 65% 100 70 $0.4846
123 SYRUP Maple Finance ±6.7% ±2.7% 79 1.0× 11.0%crowded +5.1% 80% 22 93 $0.2142
124 EIGEN EigenLayer ±8.0% ±3.3% 86 1.1× 6.3% +93.3% 79% 94 65 $0.2567
125 ENS Ethereum Name Serv... ±5.1% ±2.0% 66 0.4× 8.7% +7.6% 74% 93 92 $5.88
126 JASMY JasmyCoin ±5.7% ±2.1% 43 0.3× 11.0%crowded +6.7% 61% 16 97 $0.004830
127 FLOKI FLOKI ±5.0% ±1.9% 53 0.5× 8.1% +8.8% 65% 66 89 $0.00002480
129 IOTA IOTA ±5.9% ±2.4% 81 0.6×burst 11.0%crowded +12.1% 62% 80 77 $0.05030
131 COMP Compound ±4.7% ±1.8% 49 0.5× 4.8% -0.3% 64% 55 39 $22.65
133 KMNO Kamino Finance ±9.5% ±4.4% 100wild 1.9×burst -30.0% +36.3% 40% 77 76 $0.03877
134 RUNE THORChain ±4.2% ±1.6% 58 0.3× 5.1% +3.6% 67% 1 100 $0.6540
135 TWT Trust Wallet Token ±4.4% ±1.8% 81 1.0× 11.0%crowded +26.2% 85% 63 51 $0.4997
138 WIF dogwifhat ±5.7% ±2.2% 53 0.5× -20.7% +2.2% 66% 51 96 $0.2037
139 MET Meteora ±8.0% ±2.9% 40 0.3× -5.6% -8.5% 59% 5 77 $0.3683
140 CVX Convex Finance ±6.3% ±2.5% 65 0.7× 11.0%crowded +9.1% 80% 25 11 $2.02
141 THETA Theta Network ±5.6% ±2.2% 60 0.7× 8.1% +11.1% 61% 58 68 $0.2009
143 ZK ZKsync ±13.1% ±5.6% 94wild 2.5×burst 1.7% +47.5% 54% 35 73 $0.01760
146 AXS Axie Infinity ±5.2% ±1.9% 47 0.3× 3.8% +5.7% 62% 87 97 $1.08
147 MANA Decentraland ±5.2% ±1.9% 60 0.2× -4.8% +56.3% 59% 29 93 $0.09060
151 A Vaulta ±6.0% ±2.3% 65 0.7×burst 11.0%crowded +3.3% 79% 48 67 $0.1026
153 NEO Neo ±5.4% ±2.0% 51 0.4× -5.2% -2.2% 62% 24 77 $2.37
155 SAND The Sandbox ±6.7% ±2.4% 40 0.3× -18.2% -8.0% 60% 23 99 $0.05523
158 S Sonic ±14.8% ±5.7% 83 1.0×burst -19.6% +20.2% 58% 37 66 $0.05430
160 APE ApeCoin ±6.3% ±2.5% 77 0.6×burst 11.0%crowded +18.7% 62% 2 60 $0.1535
162 0G 0G ±6.6% ±2.4% 42 0.4× 11.0%crowded +135.9% 64% 74 99 $0.2530
163 CHZ Chiliz ±4.5% ±1.7% 68 0.3× 7.4% +7.6% 72% 80 88 $0.01427
165 DEXE DeXe ±4.1% ±1.6% 81 0.6× 2.9% +1.9% 67% 99 48 $1.76
167 SUPER SuperVerse ±7.6% ±3.2% 77 1.7×burst -63.7% +82.5% 58% 95 87 $0.2123
169 1INCH 1inch ±3.6% ±1.4% 53 0.5× 11.0%crowded +5.5% 69% 63 84 $0.09560
171 XEC eCash ±4.5% ±1.7% 42 0.4× 11.0%crowded +1.6% 66% 48 3 $0.000006660
172 PLUME Plume ±9.8% ±3.9% 81 1.3× 11.0%crowded +19.3% 72% 39 98 $0.02005
173 SFP SafePal ±4.5% ±1.6% 54 0.2× 11.0%crowded +1.5% 53% 19 74 $0.2612
176 RSR Reserve Rights ±17.2% ±5.3% 55 1.0×burst -58.8% -15.1% 55% 13 49 $0.001953
178 WAL Walrus ±17.0% ±7.2% 89 3.3×burst -96.1% -47.8% 50% 43 62 $0.04561
180 GLM Golem ±4.5% ±1.7% 73 0.5× 11.0%crowded -1.8% 66% 47 92 $0.1196
183 EGLD MultiversX ±5.6% ±2.1% 52 0.4× -4.5% +6.8% 56% 35 15 $3.80
184 2Z DoubleZero ±5.7% ±2.0% 31 0.2× 11.0%crowded +250.3% 55% 13 62 $0.03358
185 ZEN Horizen ±5.7% ±2.2% 38 0.5× 2.4% +2.9% 76% 10 99 $6.18
188 DYDX dYdX ±5.9% ±2.2% 45 0.5× 10.9% +9.1% 72% 80 34 $0.1265
189 GALA Gala ±6.5% ±2.4% 54 0.4× -14.5% +5.5% 58% 98 94 $0.002081
192 PROM Prom ±8.6% ±3.6% 82 1.2×burst -42.3% +11.6% 57% 100 79 $5.34
193 FORM Four ±6.5% ±2.4% 74 0.2× 11.0%crowded +6.5% 90% 92 97 $0.2612
195 QTUM Qtum ±4.5% ±1.7% 62 0.3× 11.0%crowded -0.7% 77% 20 86 $0.9190
196 W Wormhole ±15.1% ±5.4% 72 0.9× -44.3% +378.5% 49% 62 45 $0.01459
GAS Gas ±4.4% ±1.7% 58 0.6× 11.0%crowded +5.5% 67% 87 44 $1.33
SNX Synthetix ±5.5% ±2.1% 62 0.5× 10.4% -3.9% 71% 32 17 $0.2298
LPT Livepeer ±7.5% ±2.9% 77 0.6× 11.0%crowded +2.6% 63% 8 58 $1.77
TFUEL Theta Fuel ±3.9% ±1.5% 53 0.3× – – – 93 – $0.009100
FTT FTX Token ±8.0% ±2.8% 58 0.4× – – – 89 – $0.2529
FLOW Flow ±7.3% ±2.8% 63 0.8× 11.0%crowded +6.7% 78% 99 66 $0.03294
KSM Kusama ±5.2% ±2.0% 61 0.3× 0.2% +6.7% 58% 7 62 $4.59
AMP Amp ±12.5% ±4.3% 67 0.5× – – – 77 – $0.0006940
AXL Axelar ±9.5% ±3.8% 85 1.2× -23.3% -10.5% 59% 40 77 $0.05560
BERA Berachain ±8.9% ±3.9% 94wild 2.0× -293.5% +6.4% 65% 81 68 $0.2065
LINEA Linea ±6.0% ±2.3% 75 0.6× 10.9% +6.1% 79% 51 45 $0.002962
MOVE Movement ±5.7% ±2.2% 48 0.5× 11.0%crowded +7.5% 64% 4 24 $0.008010
KAITO KAITO ±5.2% ±2.0% 52 0.6× 11.0%crowded +0.8% 69% 6 64 $0.2987
SAHARA Sahara AI ±4.4% ±1.7% 72 0.6× 11.0%crowded +3.8% 74% 8 17 $0.008010
AVNT Avantis ±6.6% ±2.6% 83 0.7× 11.0%crowded +4.7% 68% 64 75 $0.1188

Updated hourly, last at 16 Oct 12:32 UTC. Flow columns are percentiles of the coin's own past month: 0 the most net selling, 100 the most net buying. A dash means the coin has no Binance USDT perpetual, or not enough futures history yet.

What each column is good for

24h and 4h range Tested: forecasts the size of moves
The band the closing price stayed inside 80% of the time. Built from the coin's volatility over the last day, week and month, its trading volume and the time of day. Useful for sizing a position or judging whether a stop is inside normal noise.
Volatility rank Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Unusually quiet coins tended to move about 40% more over the next day than their quiet day suggested; unusually volatile ones about a fifth less. The range column already accounts for this.
Volume Tested: forecasts the size of moves
A burst of three times the normal hourly volume came before 1 to 4 hours about 10-15% more volatile than usual.
Funding Tested: suggestive, not proven
What longs pay shorts on the perpetual. "Crowded" marks funding above 95% of the past month: such readings came before the coin trailed the market by about 0.3% over the next day on 15 of 19 coins - consistent, but short of proof.
Open interest and top traders Too little history to test yet
Binance publishes only 30 days of these, so Whalio started keeping them on 12 October 2026. They will be tested once there is history to test on.
Spot and futures flow Tested: no predictive value for direction
Who was more aggressive, buyers or sellers. It describes the move; on 11 months of data it did not predict the next one.

These are measurements and statistical ranges, not advice. A range that held 80% of the time fails one time in five, and more often when markets are moving fast. The full method and every test are on the research page and in the methodology.