Ondo

Ondo Accumulation/Distribution

ONDO · Rank #40
Price
$0.4658
Market Cap
$2,268,111,268
24h Volume
$199,832,301
Circulating Supply
4,869,330,647

What to expect next: ONDO move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

ONDO is likely to stay within ±6.6% over the next 24 hours, and within ±3.1% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing. Funding shows crowded longs.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±6.6%
$0.4376 – $0.4973
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±12.0%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±8.3%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±3.1%
$0.4523 – $0.4812
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±6.1%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±3.6%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Normal
Last 24h: 6.4% · 30-day typical day: 6.6%
calmestwildest
Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
0.6× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 0.6 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance ONDOUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
11.0% a year
0.0050% per 4h
month lowmonth high
Longs are paying shorts more than at almost any point in the past month: positioning is crowded on the long side. In our test, readings this high came before the coin trailed the market by about 0.3% over the next day, on 15 of 19 coins - the most consistent pattern we found, but not strong enough to be called proven.
Tested: suggestive, not proven
Who is long
77% of top-trader positions
60% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.029%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.029%, 43rd percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
-3.1%
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the spot market were ahead by 3.1% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (47th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
-2.6%
futures volume 5.7× spot
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the futures market were ahead by 2.6% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (77th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
228 trades
0.7× the past week's daily pace
228 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $5.2M in all, with sellers ahead by $452K. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour +$25,810 52.5% $504,721 3,890
4 Hours $-278,600 46.1% $3,578,803 18,548
1 Day $-914,961 48.1% $24,731,476 153,122
Is that normal for Ondo?

The latest daily buy ratio of 48.1% sits at the 32nd percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 49.5% - ordinary for this coin. Volume ran 3.21 times a typical day, busier than 87% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above ONDO's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$0.4663 +4.41%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
223 -8.2%
Net Buy/Sell
$-406,603
Total Amount
$5,015,873 -35.2%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:25 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 16:22 $0.4659 $31,643 Buy
2026-10-16 15:30 $0.4668 $30,015 Buy
2026-10-16 13:28 $0.4762 $62,052 Sell
2026-10-16 12:51 $0.4726 $88,342 Sell
2026-10-16 12:48 $0.4726 $101,589 Buy
2026-10-16 12:42 $0.4737 $104,115 Sell
2026-10-16 12:41 $0.4744 $130,612 Buy
2026-10-16 12:06 $0.4704 $38,983 Buy
2026-10-16 11:47 $0.4732 $60,185 Buy
2026-10-16 09:40 $0.4700 $63,974 Buy
2026-10-16 09:11 $0.4719 $58,198 Buy
2026-10-16 08:01 $0.4673 $104,694 Sell
2026-10-16 05:51 $0.4653 $65,382 Buy
2026-10-16 05:38 $0.4620 $35,678 Sell
2026-10-16 05:35 $0.4617 $206,944 Sell
2026-10-16 03:27 $0.4692 $47,307 Sell
2026-10-16 01:15 $0.4660 $36,770 Buy
2026-10-15 22:33 $0.4658 $80,053 Sell
2026-10-15 22:05 $0.4680 $37,708 Sell
2026-10-15 21:59 $0.4689 $50,982 Sell
2026-10-15 21:57 $0.4697 $30,078 Sell
2026-10-15 21:06 $0.4672 $34,341 Buy
2026-10-15 19:51 $0.4607 $31,232 Sell
2026-10-15 18:07 $0.4602 $31,773 Sell
2026-10-15 18:03 $0.4579 $46,672 Sell
2026-10-15 17:53 $0.4595 $49,832 Sell
2026-10-15 17:44 $0.4589 $32,508 Sell
2026-10-15 17:26 $0.4555 $79,481 Buy
2026-10-15 17:10 $0.4530 $52,976 Sell
2026-10-15 17:06 $0.4513 $51,612 Sell
2026-10-15 17:04 $0.4515 $33,584 Buy
2026-10-15 16:52 $0.4422 $37,925 Buy
2026-10-15 16:46 $0.4402 $42,423 Sell

What Ondo's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for ONDO, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $7.7M across 67,206 trades, which works out at about $115 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 48.09% against a median of 49.45%. That is the 32nd percentile of the days measured, which makes it ordinary for this coin. Turnover came to $24.7M, 3.2 times the median day.

Takers have leaned the same way for 4 days running, net selling throughout. The longest run in that direction this coin has had is 10 days. Over the last week the imbalance totals $5.9M on $169.4M of turnover, with the price down 0.36%.

The heaviest day on record is $119M on 24 September 2026, and the busiest by count is 647,433 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 26.8% on 8 May 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and ONDO can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Whalio analysis covering ONDO:

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Ondo News

Each story read against ONDO's Binance order flow at the time it broke

All ONDO news →

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