Cardano

Cardano Accumulation/Distribution

ADA · Rank #14
Price
$0.2287
Market Cap
$8,418,356,401
24h Volume
$333,478,058
Circulating Supply
36,802,996,525

What to expect next: ADA move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

ADA is likely to stay within ±5.0% over the next 24 hours, and within ±2.3% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±5.0%
$0.2182 – $0.2405
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±9.0%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±6.3%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±2.3%
$0.2239 – $0.2344
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±4.5%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±2.6%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Normal
Last 24h: 4.5% · 30-day typical day: 4.7%
calmestwildest
Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
0.5× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 0.5 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance ADAUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
7.5% a year
0.0068% per 8h
month lowmonth high
Longs are paying shorts 0.0068% every 8 hours (7.5% a year), 38th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Open interest
+109.1% 24h
Open interest is $81.4M, up 109.1% in 24 hours: positions are being opened on balance.
Too little history to test yet
Who is long
63% of top-trader positions
65% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.044%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.044%, 34th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
-0.5%
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the spot market were ahead by 0.5% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (48th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
+3.7%
futures volume 6.8× spot
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the futures market were ahead by 3.7% of turnover over 24 hours, an extreme reading for this coin (98th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
485 trades
0.8× the past week's daily pace
485 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $12.4M in all, with buyers ahead by $1.4M. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour $-23,083 48.1% $617,061 5,219
4 Hours +$58,120 51.1% $2,675,468 15,744
1 Day $-3,191,231 45.6% $36,830,480 175,763
Is that normal for Cardano?

The latest daily buy ratio of 45.6% sits at the 5th percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 49.2% - among the weakest buying days it has had. Volume ran 1.19 times a typical day, busier than 62% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above ADA's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$0.2289 +0.39%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
490 -11.6%
Net Buy/Sell
+$914,943
Total Amount
$12,068,029 -19.1%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:24 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 16:24 $0.2303 $38,101 Buy
2026-10-16 16:08 $0.2285 $57,007 Sell
2026-10-16 16:02 $0.2291 $61,206 Buy
2026-10-16 15:30 $0.2293 $45,894 Buy
2026-10-16 15:04 $0.2288 $53,531 Sell
2026-10-16 14:52 $0.2291 $47,710 Buy
2026-10-16 14:42 $0.2305 $44,876 Buy
2026-10-16 14:35 $0.2311 $49,604 Buy
2026-10-16 14:29 $0.2308 $36,014 Sell
2026-10-16 14:29 $0.2308 $38,859 Buy
2026-10-16 14:26 $0.2310 $36,674 Sell
2026-10-16 14:11 $0.2305 $42,595 Buy
2026-10-16 14:04 $0.2307 $92,009 Sell
2026-10-16 13:47 $0.2321 $73,609 Sell
2026-10-16 13:39 $0.2324 $58,720 Sell
2026-10-16 13:25 $0.2334 $52,103 Buy
2026-10-16 13:23 $0.2326 $42,111 Buy
2026-10-16 11:54 $0.2312 $42,341 Buy
2026-10-16 10:47 $0.2322 $39,926 Buy
2026-10-16 09:38 $0.2308 $38,676 Buy
2026-10-16 08:36 $0.2308 $122,889 Sell
2026-10-16 08:35 $0.2310 $162,694 Buy
2026-10-16 08:15 $0.2294 $53,907 Sell
2026-10-16 08:01 $0.2298 $33,496 Sell
2026-10-16 07:33 $0.2302 $55,003 Buy
2026-10-16 07:28 $0.2301 $97,641 Sell
2026-10-16 07:17 $0.2308 $43,983 Buy
2026-10-16 07:03 $0.2313 $54,086 Buy
2026-10-16 07:02 $0.2312 $33,454 Sell
2026-10-16 07:01 $0.2308 $52,543 Buy
2026-10-16 06:33 $0.2298 $63,671 Buy
2026-10-16 06:28 $0.2299 $53,352 Buy
2026-10-16 06:08 $0.2287 $34,217 Sell
2026-10-16 06:04 $0.2289 $74,877 Buy
2026-10-16 05:07 $0.2293 $59,787 Sell
2026-10-16 05:00 $0.2291 $66,032 Sell
2026-10-16 04:52 $0.2294 $34,856 Sell
2026-10-16 03:20 $0.2308 $50,144 Buy
2026-10-16 02:51 $0.2306 $32,495 Buy
2026-10-16 02:48 $0.2305 $54,271 Buy
2026-10-16 02:46 $0.2305 $48,713 Sell
2026-10-16 02:38 $0.2305 $50,021 Buy
2026-10-16 02:02 $0.2298 $66,639 Sell
2026-10-16 02:00 $0.2299 $63,223 Sell
2026-10-16 01:47 $0.2301 $31,914 Buy
2026-10-16 01:20 $0.2292 $63,048 Sell
2026-10-16 00:33 $0.2308 $41,268 Sell
2026-10-15 23:22 $0.2310 $38,114 Buy
2026-10-15 23:00 $0.2294 $57,571 Sell
2026-10-15 23:00 $0.2294 $47,249 Buy

What Cardano's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for ADA, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $31M across 133,930 trades, which works out at about $231 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 45.63% against a median of 49.17%. That is the 5th percentile of the days measured, which makes it unusually one-sided towards selling for this coin. Turnover came to $36.8M, 1.2 times the median day.

Takers have leaned the same way for 5 days running, net selling throughout. The longest run in that direction this coin has had is 11 days. Over the last week the imbalance totals $7.8M on $215.1M of turnover, with the price down 0.9%.

The heaviest day on record is $172.7M on 6 February 2026, and the busiest by count is 842,402 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 15.8% on 25 February 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and ADA can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Cardano News

Each story read against ADA's Binance order flow at the time it broke

Cardano News Map - every story placed against the price →

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