Ethereum

Ethereum Accumulation/Distribution

ETH · Rank #2
Price
$2,456.34
Market Cap
$300,016,320,425
24h Volume
$13,120,040,020
Circulating Supply
122,139,509

What to expect next: ETH move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

ETH is likely to stay within ±3.0% over the next 24 hours, and within ±1.5% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing. After an unusually volatile day, moves have tended to shrink.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±3.0%
$2,391 – $2,538
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±5.4%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±3.8%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±1.5%
$2,426 – $2,501
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±3.0%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±1.8%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Wild
Last 24h: 3.4% · 30-day typical day: 2.3%
calmestwildest
The last 24 hours were more volatile than 93% of the past month. After days this wild, the next 24 hours moved on average about a fifth less: volatility tends to settle back.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
1.1× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 1.1 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance ETHUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
5.1% a year
0.0046% per 8h
month lowmonth high
Longs are paying shorts 0.0046% every 8 hours (5.1% a year), 52nd percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Open interest
+26.5% 24h
Open interest is $5.6B, up 26.5% in 24 hours: positions are being opened on balance.
Too little history to test yet
Who is long
61% of top-trader positions
71% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.062%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.062%, 9th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
+9.2%
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the spot market were ahead by 9.2% of turnover over 24 hours, a strong reading for this coin (87th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
+3.2%
futures volume 11.9× spot
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the futures market were ahead by 3.2% of turnover over 24 hours, a strong reading for this coin (94th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
4,460 trades
1.1× the past week's daily pace
4,460 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $878M in all, with buyers ahead by $23.3M. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour $-890,565 48.8% $38,152,670 276,877
4 Hours +$12,967,714 53.0% $214,950,064 825,644
1 Day $-67,331,902 46.8% $1,064,862,651 5,293,586
Is that normal for Ethereum?

The latest daily buy ratio of 46.8% sits at the 16th percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 49.5% - weaker buying than most days. Volume ran 1.56 times a typical day, busier than 79% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above ETH's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$2,458.62 +1.02%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
4,643 -4.7%
Net Buy/Sell
+$6,124,636
Total Amount
$898,920,038 -4%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:24 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 16:24 $2,477.49 $348,092 Buy
2026-10-16 16:24 $2,477.34 $6,351,325 Buy
2026-10-16 16:24 $2,476.81 $257,719 Buy
2026-10-16 16:23 $2,474.47 $592,289 Sell
2026-10-16 16:23 $2,474.01 $205,807 Sell
2026-10-16 16:22 $2,470.42 $274,787 Sell
2026-10-16 16:20 $2,475.28 $549,272 Sell
2026-10-16 16:20 $2,475.95 $475,818 Buy
2026-10-16 16:20 $2,475.59 $263,382 Buy
2026-10-16 16:17 $2,471.66 $361,045 Buy
2026-10-16 16:17 $2,472.05 $1,658,629 Sell
2026-10-16 16:17 $2,472.53 $290,435 Buy
2026-10-16 16:16 $2,469.41 $941,252 Buy
2026-10-16 16:16 $2,468.40 $300,006 Buy
2026-10-16 16:16 $2,468.18 $333,823 Buy
2026-10-16 16:15 $2,466.76 $2,722,402 Sell
2026-10-16 16:15 $2,467.32 $240,257 Sell
2026-10-16 16:14 $2,465.00 $1,082,033 Buy
2026-10-16 16:13 $2,462.28 $280,983 Buy
2026-10-16 16:12 $2,459.99 $202,548 Buy
2026-10-16 16:11 $2,454.37 $246,394 Sell
2026-10-16 16:10 $2,456.36 $506,314 Sell
2026-10-16 16:07 $2,457.21 $226,021 Buy
2026-10-16 16:03 $2,459.46 $414,819 Sell
2026-10-16 16:03 $2,459.88 $516,525 Buy
2026-10-16 16:02 $2,459.95 $209,639 Buy
2026-10-16 16:00 $2,458.62 $199,553 Buy
2026-10-16 15:59 $2,458.88 $245,889 Sell
2026-10-16 15:53 $2,455.44 $895,085 Sell
2026-10-16 15:52 $2,453.62 $3,408,464 Sell
2026-10-16 15:52 $2,453.62 $340,751 Buy
2026-10-16 15:52 $2,453.62 $517,849 Buy
2026-10-16 15:51 $2,449.48 $2,580,780 Buy
2026-10-16 15:51 $2,449.48 $3,837,367 Sell
2026-10-16 15:50 $2,449.58 $383,893 Buy
2026-10-16 15:50 $2,449.58 $568,673 Buy
2026-10-16 15:50 $2,449.58 $368,847 Sell
2026-10-16 15:49 $2,454.94 $354,165 Sell
2026-10-16 15:49 $2,454.94 $505,709 Buy
2026-10-16 15:48 $2,453.51 $221,300 Sell
2026-10-16 15:48 $2,453.51 $1,338,168 Sell
2026-10-16 15:48 $2,453.51 $314,162 Sell
2026-10-16 15:47 $2,454.12 $245,164 Sell
2026-10-16 15:46 $2,454.56 $267,385 Sell
2026-10-16 15:46 $2,454.56 $689,862 Sell
2026-10-16 15:45 $2,458.39 $541,757 Buy
2026-10-16 15:45 $2,458.39 $497,332 Buy
2026-10-16 15:44 $2,461.83 $263,727 Sell
2026-10-16 15:43 $2,459.82 $204,580 Buy
2026-10-16 15:42 $2,459.51 $2,238,281 Buy

What Ethereum's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for ETH, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $683.8M across 3,118,217 trades, which works out at about $219 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 46.79% against a median of 49.54%. That is the 16th percentile of the days measured, which makes it leaning, but within its normal range. Turnover came to $1.06bn, 1.6 times the median day.

Net taker flow has not settled into a run: the side crossing the spread in greater size changed within the last three days.

The heaviest day on record is $5.11bn on 4 November 2025, and the busiest by count is 13,203,597 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 17.46% on 19 August 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and ETH can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Ethereum News

Each story read against ETH's Binance order flow at the time it broke

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