Bittensor

Bittensor Accumulation/Distribution

TAO · Rank #29
Price
$285.83
Market Cap
$3,322,620,971
24h Volume
$220,498,511
Circulating Supply
11,624,287

What to expect next: TAO move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

TAO is likely to stay within ±5.8% over the next 24 hours, and within ±2.8% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing. Funding shows crowded longs.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±5.8%
$269.85 – $302.06
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±10.5%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±7.3%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±2.8%
$277.72 – $293.49
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±5.4%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±3.2%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Normal
Last 24h: 5.6% · 30-day typical day: 5.4%
calmestwildest
Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
0.7× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 0.7 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance TAOUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
11.0% a year
0.0050% per 4h
month lowmonth high
Longs are paying shorts more than at almost any point in the past month: positioning is crowded on the long side. In our test, readings this high came before the coin trailed the market by about 0.3% over the next day, on 15 of 19 coins - the most consistent pattern we found, but not strong enough to be called proven.
Tested: suggestive, not proven
Open interest
+125.6% 24h
Open interest is $67.5M, up 125.6% in 24 hours: positions are being opened on balance.
Too little history to test yet
Who is long
77% of top-trader positions
57% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.040%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.040%, 26th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
-2.0%
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the spot market were ahead by 2.0% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (44th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
-3.4%
futures volume 4.4× spot
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the futures market were ahead by 3.4% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (66th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
260 trades
1.0× the past week's daily pace
260 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $7.1M in all, with buyers ahead by $218K. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour +$30,994 51.7% $910,128 5,812
4 Hours $-41,560 49.5% $4,504,851 33,638
1 Day $-172,313 49.6% $27,268,686 147,184
Is that normal for Bittensor?

The latest daily buy ratio of 49.6% sits at the 64th percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 48.8% - ordinary for this coin. Volume ran 1.16 times a typical day, busier than 59% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above TAO's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$285.90 +6.56%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
252 -9%
Net Buy/Sell
$-22,617
Total Amount
$6,547,595 -28.2%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:18 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 16:18 $287.51 $149,263 Sell
2026-10-16 15:51 $285.00 $49,750 Sell
2026-10-16 14:55 $285.70 $110,672 Buy
2026-10-16 14:49 $285.60 $43,635 Sell
2026-10-16 14:02 $287.30 $41,850 Sell
2026-10-16 14:02 $287.30 $42,937 Sell
2026-10-16 13:28 $290.10 $63,863 Sell
2026-10-16 12:32 $289.00 $50,708 Buy
2026-10-16 10:55 $288.60 $79,000 Sell
2026-10-16 10:19 $286.30 $70,116 Sell
2026-10-16 09:03 $289.60 $42,805 Sell
2026-10-16 08:52 $290.50 $54,053 Sell
2026-10-16 07:31 $287.20 $116,141 Sell
2026-10-16 07:05 $288.50 $34,657 Buy
2026-10-16 06:33 $285.50 $66,636 Buy
2026-10-16 06:05 $285.00 $41,940 Buy
2026-10-16 06:00 $285.90 $37,442 Buy
2026-10-16 05:57 $285.90 $65,613 Buy
2026-10-16 05:54 $285.10 $132,178 Buy
2026-10-16 05:51 $284.60 $36,508 Buy
2026-10-16 05:45 $283.00 $60,501 Buy
2026-10-16 03:09 $283.70 $37,063 Sell
2026-10-16 03:03 $283.20 $86,867 Buy
2026-10-16 02:42 $280.70 $56,495 Buy
2026-10-16 01:38 $278.20 $78,555 Buy
2026-10-16 01:20 $277.90 $36,206 Sell
2026-10-16 00:00 $278.10 $48,967 Buy
2026-10-15 23:13 $277.90 $39,899 Sell
2026-10-15 21:20 $280.00 $77,720 Buy
2026-10-15 19:42 $277.00 $121,055 Buy
2026-10-15 19:14 $275.30 $40,481 Sell
2026-10-15 18:46 $273.90 $33,952 Sell
2026-10-15 18:34 $272.90 $120,264 Buy
2026-10-15 18:07 $274.20 $55,990 Buy
2026-10-15 17:42 $273.40 $100,047 Sell
2026-10-15 17:31 $271.60 $44,059 Sell
2026-10-15 17:31 $271.60 $323,492 Buy
2026-10-15 17:28 $271.60 $40,356 Sell
2026-10-15 17:22 $270.00 $42,067 Sell
2026-10-15 17:06 $269.70 $43,359 Sell
2026-10-15 17:00 $268.00 $190,811 Sell
2026-10-15 16:49 $266.60 $40,480 Buy
2026-10-15 16:41 $265.40 $38,647 Buy

What Bittensor's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for TAO, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $23.5M across 150,622 trades, which works out at about $156 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 49.61% against a median of 48.75%. That is the 64th percentile of the days measured, which makes it ordinary for this coin. Turnover came to $27.3M, 1.2 times the median day.

Takers have leaned the same way for 5 days running, net selling throughout. The longest run in that direction this coin has had is 9 days. Over the last week the imbalance totals $5M on $168.9M of turnover, with the price up 3.91%.

The heaviest day on record is $325.4M on 9 April 2026, and the busiest by count is 1,369,119 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 24.05% on 13 June 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and TAO can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Bittensor News

Each story read against TAO's Binance order flow at the time it broke

Bittensor News Map - every story placed against the price →

All TAO news →

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