Hedera Accumulation/Distribution

Name: Hedera (HBAR) Binance spot order flow
Creator: Whalio

HBAR · Rank #28

Price

$0.08641

Market Cap

$3,804,262,451

24h Volume

$93,675,297

Circulating Supply

44,027,157,649

What to expect next: HBAR move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

HBAR is likely to stay within ±4.8% over the next 24 hours, and within ±2.2% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing.

Next 24 hours · likely range

±4.8%

$0.08280 – $0.09089

The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±8.6%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±6.0%.

Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Next 4 hours · likely range

±2.2%

$0.08489 – $0.08865

The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±4.2%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±2.5%.

Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Volatility vs the past month

Normal

Last 24h: 4.0% · 30-day typical day: 5.2%

calmestwildest

Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.

Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Trading volume

0.5× normal

last 24h vs 30-day daily average

Volume over the last 24 hours is 0.5 times the coin's 30-day daily average.

Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance HBARUSDT perpetual

Funding rate

6.2% a year

0.0056% per 8h

month lowmonth high

Longs are paying shorts 0.0056% every 8 hours (6.2% a year), 40th percentile of the past month.

Tested: no predictive value for direction

Open interest

+167.7% 24h

Open interest is $38.8M, up 167.7% in 24 hours: positions are being opened on balance.

Too little history to test yet

Who is long

72% of top-trader positions

53% of all accounts are long

Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.

Too little history to test yet

Perpetual premium

-0.041%

The perpetual trades below the index by 0.041%, 47th percentile of the past month.

Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h

+5.1%

most sellingmost buying

Buyers on the spot market were ahead by 5.1% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (69th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.

Tested: no predictive value for direction

Futures net flow, 24h

-2.7%

futures volume 2.6× spot

most sellingmost buying

Sellers on the futures market were ahead by 2.7% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (52nd percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.

Tested: no predictive value for direction

Trades of $10K+, 24h

39 trades

0.6× the past week's daily pace

39 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $870K in all, with sellers ahead by $12.6K. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.

Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period	Volume Delta	Buy Ratio	Volume	Trades
1 Hour	+$137,098	58.4%	$819,784	6,418
4 Hours	+$155,918	54.0%	$1,918,770	11,845
1 Day	$-233,585	49.2%	$16,529,141	139,822

Is that normal for Hedera?

The latest daily buy ratio of 49.3% sits at the 50th percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 49.2% - ordinary for this coin. Volume ran 1.82 times a typical day, busier than 78% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above HBAR's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price

$0.08625 +2.63%

Impulses (Last 24 Hours)

40 -39.4%

Net Buy/Sell

$-7,881

Total Amount

$864,821 -65.4%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:10 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time	Price	Amount	Side
2026-10-16 13:47	$0.08711	$27,793	Sell
2026-10-16 08:26	$0.08572	$54,970	Buy
2026-10-16 05:15	$0.08538	$128,920	Sell
2026-10-16 03:36	$0.08552	$57,600	Sell
2026-10-15 21:30	$0.08513	$61,895	Buy
2026-10-15 17:38	$0.08360	$38,075	Buy

What Hedera's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for HBAR, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $9.1M across 92,374 trades, which works out at about $99 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 49.25% against a median of 49.2%. That is the 50th percentile of the days measured, which makes it ordinary for this coin. Turnover came to $16.5M, 1.8 times the median day.

Net taker flow has not settled into a run: the side crossing the spread in greater size changed within the last three days.

The heaviest day on record is $200.1M on 28 September 2026, and the busiest by count is 1,929,520 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 27.32% on 28 September 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and HBAR can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Whalio analysis covering HBAR: