Worldcoin

Worldcoin Accumulation/Distribution

WLD · Rank #43
Price
$0.5243
Market Cap
$1,999,965,048
24h Volume
$396,796,876
Circulating Supply
3,814,429,179

What to expect next: WLD move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 15:00 UTC

WLD is likely to stay within ±8.6% over the next 24 hours, and within ±4.4% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing. After an unusually volatile day, moves have tended to shrink. Funding shows crowded longs.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±8.6%
$0.4827 – $0.5689
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±15.7%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±10.9%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±4.4%
$0.5019 – $0.5471
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±8.6%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±5.0%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Wild
Last 24h: 10.5% · 30-day typical day: 7.0%
calmestwildest
The last 24 hours were more volatile than 99% of the past month. After days this wild, the next 24 hours moved on average about a fifth less: volatility tends to settle back.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
1.0× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 1.0 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance WLDUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
11.0% a year
0.0100% per 8h
month lowmonth high
Longs are paying shorts more than at almost any point in the past month: positioning is crowded on the long side. In our test, readings this high came before the coin trailed the market by about 0.3% over the next day, on 15 of 19 coins - the most consistent pattern we found, but not strong enough to be called proven.
Tested: suggestive, not proven
Open interest
+21.5% 24h
Open interest is $107M, up 21.5% in 24 hours: positions are being opened on balance.
Too little history to test yet
Who is long
76% of top-trader positions
61% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.024%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.024%, 58th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
-3.3%
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the spot market were ahead by 3.3% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (35th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
-0.8%
futures volume 6.7× spot
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the futures market were ahead by 0.8% of turnover over 24 hours, a strong reading for this coin (93rd percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
621 trades
1.0× the past week's daily pace
621 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $21.7M in all, with sellers ahead by $200K. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour +$150,523 53.8% $1,993,707 19,859
4 Hours $-165,282 49.6% $18,920,858 137,096
1 Day $-1,478,749 48.1% $39,136,636 281,012
Is that normal for Worldcoin?

The latest daily buy ratio of 48.1% sits at the 31st percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 49.3% - ordinary for this coin. Volume ran 2.37 times a typical day, busier than 81% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above WLD's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$0.5139 +5.16%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
659 +48.1%
Net Buy/Sell
$-613,562
Total Amount
$22,907,832 +59.1%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 17:37 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 17:26 $0.5136 $152,997 Sell
2026-10-16 17:23 $0.5111 $49,073 Buy
2026-10-16 17:22 $0.5119 $106,392 Sell
2026-10-16 17:20 $0.5131 $59,572 Sell
2026-10-16 17:17 $0.5138 $76,270 Sell
2026-10-16 17:15 $0.5139 $70,528 Sell
2026-10-16 17:15 $0.5139 $38,812 Sell
2026-10-16 17:09 $0.5167 $38,161 Sell
2026-10-16 17:03 $0.5214 $61,862 Sell
2026-10-16 17:02 $0.5221 $59,799 Sell
2026-10-16 17:01 $0.5222 $172,243 Buy
2026-10-16 16:54 $0.5248 $65,590 Sell
2026-10-16 16:44 $0.5282 $42,058 Buy
2026-10-16 16:41 $0.5269 $70,862 Sell
2026-10-16 16:41 $0.5269 $76,369 Sell
2026-10-16 16:32 $0.5314 $39,752 Buy
2026-10-16 16:25 $0.5333 $120,715 Buy
2026-10-16 16:14 $0.5307 $44,470 Buy
2026-10-16 16:12 $0.5273 $53,639 Buy
2026-10-16 16:11 $0.5260 $92,689 Sell
2026-10-16 16:10 $0.5234 $51,825 Sell
2026-10-16 16:09 $0.5251 $43,338 Sell
2026-10-16 16:08 $0.5257 $68,261 Buy
2026-10-16 16:07 $0.5239 $53,289 Sell
2026-10-16 15:51 $0.5295 $68,106 Sell
2026-10-16 15:32 $0.5289 $56,599 Buy
2026-10-16 15:14 $0.5333 $48,154 Sell
2026-10-16 15:11 $0.5354 $92,908 Sell
2026-10-16 14:56 $0.5335 $38,041 Sell
2026-10-16 14:54 $0.5340 $83,676 Sell
2026-10-16 14:53 $0.5356 $193,114 Buy
2026-10-16 14:52 $0.5338 $39,748 Buy
2026-10-16 14:49 $0.5331 $54,852 Sell
2026-10-16 14:41 $0.5406 $50,105 Sell
2026-10-16 14:37 $0.5440 $77,464 Sell
2026-10-16 14:34 $0.5462 $70,730 Buy
2026-10-16 14:31 $0.5449 $128,119 Sell
2026-10-16 14:29 $0.5451 $175,652 Sell
2026-10-16 14:29 $0.5451 $42,145 Buy
2026-10-16 14:27 $0.5456 $107,743 Sell
2026-10-16 14:27 $0.5456 $39,205 Sell
2026-10-16 14:17 $0.5370 $36,032 Sell
2026-10-16 14:04 $0.5352 $34,678 Sell
2026-10-16 13:44 $0.5403 $54,305 Sell
2026-10-16 13:42 $0.5419 $73,573 Sell
2026-10-16 13:26 $0.5430 $51,115 Sell
2026-10-16 13:25 $0.5451 $292,963 Buy
2026-10-16 13:15 $0.5362 $45,258 Sell
2026-10-16 12:59 $0.5370 $68,487 Sell
2026-10-16 12:52 $0.5399 $197,067 Buy

What Worldcoin's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for WLD, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $16.5M across 136,141 trades, which works out at about $121 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 48.06% against a median of 49.33%. That is the 31st percentile of the days measured, which makes it ordinary for this coin. Turnover came to $39.1M, 2.4 times the median day.

Takers have leaned the same way for 4 days running, net selling throughout. The longest run in that direction this coin has had is 14 days. Over the last week the imbalance totals $9.4M on $261.6M of turnover, with the price up 5.55%.

The heaviest day on record is $385.6M on 18 June 2026, and the busiest by count is 3,600,245 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 36.61% on 28 January 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and WLD can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Worldcoin News

Each story read against WLD's Binance order flow at the time it broke

All WLD news →

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