Arbitrum

Arbitrum Accumulation/Distribution

ARB · Rank #55
Price
$0.1992
Market Cap
$1,351,567,097
24h Volume
$223,449,424
Circulating Supply
6,785,574,605

What to expect next: ARB move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

ARB is likely to stay within ±7.6% over the next 24 hours, and within ±3.7% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±7.6%
$0.1853 – $0.2146
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±13.9%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±9.6%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±3.7%
$0.1923 – $0.2068
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±7.2%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±4.2%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Normal
Last 24h: 7.9% · 30-day typical day: 7.5%
calmestwildest
Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
0.7× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 0.7 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance ARBUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
-6.5% a year
-0.0060% per 8h
month lowmonth high
Funding is negative: shorts are paying longs, so the crowd leans short. In our test this said nothing reliable about what came next.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Open interest
+196.1% 24h
Open interest is $50.3M, up 196.1% in 24 hours: positions are being opened on balance.
Too little history to test yet
Who is long
59% of top-trader positions
61% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.046%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.046%, 50th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
+7.3%
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the spot market were ahead by 7.3% of turnover over 24 hours, an extreme reading for this coin (98th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
+3.3%
futures volume 6.6× spot
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the futures market were ahead by 3.3% of turnover over 24 hours, an extreme reading for this coin (99th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
246 trades
1.4× the past week's daily pace
246 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $7.8M in all, with sellers ahead by $1.5M. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour $-156,838 42.3% $1,011,567 5,260
4 Hours +$536,974 57.0% $3,794,396 20,330
1 Day $-164,675 49.6% $18,910,566 97,320
Is that normal for Arbitrum?

The latest daily buy ratio of 49.6% sits at the 49th percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 49.6% - ordinary for this coin. Volume ran 2.71 times a typical day, busier than 84% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above ARB's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$0.2000 +10.62%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
256 +92.5%
Net Buy/Sell
$-1,344,283
Total Amount
$8,053,745 +71.4%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:15 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 16:15 $0.1994 $36,433 Buy
2026-10-16 15:49 $0.1997 $86,271 Sell
2026-10-16 15:40 $0.2006 $74,219 Buy
2026-10-16 15:22 $0.2014 $68,975 Buy
2026-10-16 14:57 $0.1990 $57,143 Sell
2026-10-16 14:51 $0.1987 $32,377 Sell
2026-10-16 14:47 $0.1989 $56,475 Sell
2026-10-16 14:43 $0.2002 $33,139 Buy
2026-10-16 14:37 $0.2008 $45,338 Sell
2026-10-16 13:34 $0.2012 $37,615 Sell
2026-10-16 12:48 $0.1997 $346,110 Sell
2026-10-16 12:35 $0.2019 $36,231 Buy
2026-10-16 12:33 $0.2010 $48,398 Buy
2026-10-16 12:11 $0.1982 $91,097 Sell
2026-10-16 12:07 $0.1982 $68,166 Sell
2026-10-16 12:01 $0.1985 $121,979 Sell
2026-10-16 11:59 $0.1992 $101,578 Sell
2026-10-16 11:41 $0.2001 $33,647 Buy
2026-10-16 11:32 $0.2005 $47,108 Sell
2026-10-16 11:27 $0.2002 $35,953 Sell
2026-10-16 11:26 $0.2002 $175,548 Sell
2026-10-16 11:21 $0.2015 $139,604 Sell
2026-10-16 11:09 $0.1987 $32,696 Sell
2026-10-16 10:25 $0.1962 $35,555 Buy
2026-10-16 10:06 $0.1955 $42,101 Sell
2026-10-16 09:30 $0.1975 $97,211 Sell
2026-10-16 09:21 $0.1989 $36,404 Buy
2026-10-16 08:57 $0.1975 $78,035 Buy
2026-10-16 08:54 $0.1970 $444,043 Sell
2026-10-16 08:22 $0.1966 $58,118 Buy
2026-10-16 07:51 $0.1956 $68,046 Buy
2026-10-16 07:02 $0.1970 $61,227 Sell
2026-10-16 06:33 $0.1949 $100,050 Buy
2026-10-16 05:43 $0.1909 $42,974 Sell
2026-10-16 05:14 $0.1936 $56,591 Buy
2026-10-16 05:12 $0.1934 $48,892 Buy
2026-10-16 05:00 $0.1924 $67,536 Sell
2026-10-16 05:00 $0.1924 $32,397 Sell
2026-10-16 03:47 $0.1937 $82,122 Sell
2026-10-16 03:45 $0.1937 $126,870 Sell
2026-10-16 03:28 $0.1948 $39,373 Buy
2026-10-16 01:54 $0.1955 $68,302 Sell
2026-10-16 01:14 $0.1949 $107,123 Sell
2026-10-16 00:55 $0.1960 $41,930 Sell
2026-10-16 00:50 $0.1960 $45,381 Buy
2026-10-16 00:06 $0.1942 $57,101 Buy
2026-10-16 00:02 $0.1947 $36,095 Buy
2026-10-15 23:37 $0.1953 $50,551 Buy
2026-10-15 22:47 $0.1953 $117,573 Buy
2026-10-15 22:00 $0.1938 $41,580 Sell

What Arbitrum's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for ARB, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $7M across 30,846 trades, which works out at about $226 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 49.55% against a median of 49.59%. That is the 49th percentile of the days measured, which makes it ordinary for this coin. Turnover came to $18.9M, 2.7 times the median day.

Net taker flow has not settled into a run: the side crossing the spread in greater size changed within the last three days.

The heaviest day on record is $100.2M on 6 September 2026, and the busiest by count is 716,295 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 34.34% on 5 September 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and ARB can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Arbitrum News

Each story read against ARB's Binance order flow at the time it broke

All ARB news →

Categories

← Back to Liquidity