Tether Gold

Tether Gold Accumulation/Distribution

XAUt · Rank #31
Price
$4,175.27
Market Cap
$3,045,331,940
24h Volume
$213,863,827
Circulating Supply
729,374

What to expect next: XAUt move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

XAUt is likely to stay within ±1.2% over the next 24 hours, and within ±0.5% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±1.2%
$4,116 – $4,213
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±2.1%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±1.5%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±0.5%
$4,142 – $4,187
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±1.0%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±0.6%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Normal
Last 24h: 0.9% · 30-day typical day: 1.0%
calmestwildest
Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
0.9× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 0.9 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance XAUTUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
5.6% a year
0.0026% per 4h
month lowmonth high
Longs are paying shorts 0.0026% every 4 hours (5.6% a year), 38th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Open interest
-5.1% 24h
Open interest is $54.6M, down 5.1% in 24 hours: positions are being closed on balance.
Too little history to test yet
Who is long
80% of top-trader positions
52% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.033%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.033%, 76th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
+24.7%
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the spot market were ahead by 24.7% of turnover over 24 hours, a strong reading for this coin (90th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
-0.3%
futures volume 1.8× spot
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the futures market were ahead by 0.3% of turnover over 24 hours, a strong reading for this coin (82nd percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour $-310,221 38.9% $1,394,347 4,758
4 Hours +$2,612,516 72.5% $5,800,184 11,167
1 Day +$8,088,063 64.5% $27,783,100 73,361
Is that normal for Tether Gold?

The latest daily buy ratio of 64.6% sits at the 98th percentile of the last 204 days, against a median of 48.5% - among the strongest buying days it has had. Volume ran 1.55 times a typical day, busier than 76% of the last 204.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above XAUt's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
—
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
0
Net Buy/Sell
$0
Total Amount
$0

No large trades for XAUt in the last 24 hours.

What Tether Gold's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 204 days of Binance spot order flow for XAUt, starting 26 March 2026. On a median day the pair turns over $18M across 55,369 trades, which works out at about $325 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 64.55% against a median of 48.53%. That is the 99th percentile of the days measured, which makes it unusually one-sided towards buying for this coin. Turnover came to $27.8M, 1.5 times the median day.

Net taker flow has not settled into a run: the side crossing the spread in greater size changed within the last three days.

The heaviest day on record is $890.8M on 17 April 2026, and the busiest by count is 1,192,188 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 4.89% on 5 August 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and XAUt can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Tether Gold News

Each story read against XAUt's Binance order flow at the time it broke

All XAUt news →

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