Stellar

Stellar Accumulation/Distribution

XLM · Rank #17
Price
$0.1827
Market Cap
$6,425,832,115
24h Volume
$134,710,925
Circulating Supply
35,173,899,750

What to expect next: XLM move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

XLM is likely to stay within ±4.2% over the next 24 hours, and within ±2.0% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±4.2%
$0.1754 – $0.1905
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±7.6%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±5.3%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±2.0%
$0.1793 – $0.1864
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±3.8%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±2.2%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Normal
Last 24h: 3.8% · 30-day typical day: 4.2%
calmestwildest
Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
0.5× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 0.5 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance XLMUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
-3.8% a year
-0.0035% per 8h
month lowmonth high
Funding is negative: shorts are paying longs, so the crowd leans short. In our test this said nothing reliable about what came next.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Open interest
+78.1% 24h
Open interest is $34.9M, up 78.1% in 24 hours: positions are being opened on balance.
Too little history to test yet
Who is long
65% of top-trader positions
50% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.048%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.048%, 33rd percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
+2.2%
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the spot market were ahead by 2.2% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (57th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
-2.0%
futures volume 4.0× spot
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the futures market were ahead by 2.0% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (74th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
77 trades
0.8× the past week's daily pace
77 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $2.7M in all, with sellers ahead by $260K. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour +$7,132 50.7% $522,654 2,222
4 Hours $-127,490 46.7% $1,901,066 7,289
1 Day +$512,989 51.6% $15,519,317 81,762
Is that normal for Stellar?

The latest daily buy ratio of 51.6% sits at the 64th percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 50.7% - ordinary for this coin. Volume ran 1.51 times a typical day, busier than 74% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above XLM's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$0.1831 +0%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
79 -11.2%
Net Buy/Sell
$-306,004
Total Amount
$2,791,812 +14.4%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:14 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 16:14 $0.1832 $39,108 Sell
2026-10-16 15:33 $0.1829 $38,585 Sell
2026-10-16 14:55 $0.1831 $37,250 Buy
2026-10-16 14:54 $0.1830 $30,129 Buy
2026-10-16 14:49 $0.1829 $38,373 Buy
2026-10-16 14:48 $0.1828 $30,395 Sell
2026-10-16 14:45 $0.1835 $89,927 Sell
2026-10-16 12:41 $0.1845 $100,193 Buy
2026-10-16 12:18 $0.1835 $30,490 Sell
2026-10-16 09:06 $0.1837 $37,000 Buy
2026-10-16 08:42 $0.1836 $182,547 Buy
2026-10-16 05:51 $0.1822 $34,385 Buy
2026-10-16 05:42 $0.1810 $57,593 Sell
2026-10-16 05:41 $0.1812 $34,359 Buy
2026-10-16 03:56 $0.1823 $36,245 Sell
2026-10-16 01:17 $0.1829 $521,849 Sell
2026-10-15 23:59 $0.1840 $98,788 Sell
2026-10-15 18:26 $0.1837 $98,450 Sell
2026-10-15 17:51 $0.1853 $29,765 Sell
2026-10-15 17:16 $0.1850 $36,608 Buy
2026-10-15 17:05 $0.1844 $109,396 Buy
2026-10-15 16:43 $0.1823 $39,361 Buy
2026-10-15 16:34 $0.1812 $103,368 Buy

What Stellar's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for XLM, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $10.3M across 79,567 trades, which works out at about $129 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 51.64% against a median of 50.65%. That is the 64th percentile of the days measured, which makes it ordinary for this coin. Turnover came to $15.5M, 1.5 times the median day.

Takers have leaned the same way for 3 days running, net buying throughout. The longest run in that direction this coin has had is 17 days. Over the last week the imbalance totals $4.4M on $77.6M of turnover, with the price down 4.69%.

The heaviest day on record is $183.6M on 30 May 2026, and the busiest by count is 1,971,924 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 27.78% on 28 May 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and XLM can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Stellar News

Each story read against XLM's Binance order flow at the time it broke

Stellar News Map - every story placed against the price →

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