Avalanche

Avalanche Accumulation/Distribution

AVAX · Rank #22
Price
$10.26
Market Cap
$4,551,493,962
24h Volume
$402,521,958
Circulating Supply
443,563,705

What to expect next: AVAX move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

AVAX is likely to stay within ±5.3% over the next 24 hours, and within ±2.5% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±5.3%
$9.75 – $10.82
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±9.7%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±6.7%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±2.5%
$10.02 – $10.52
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±4.8%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±2.8%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Normal
Last 24h: 4.5% · 30-day typical day: 5.3%
calmestwildest
Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
0.6× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 0.6 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance AVAXUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
7.6% a year
0.0070% per 8h
month lowmonth high
Longs are paying shorts 0.0070% every 8 hours (7.6% a year), 46th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Open interest
+40.9% 24h
Open interest is $104M, up 40.9% in 24 hours: positions are being opened on balance.
Too little history to test yet
Who is long
70% of top-trader positions
62% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.034%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.034%, 61st percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
+0.3%
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the spot market were ahead by 0.3% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (59th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
+0.9%
futures volume 4.8× spot
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the futures market were ahead by 0.9% of turnover over 24 hours, a strong reading for this coin (92nd percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
342 trades
0.9× the past week's daily pace
342 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $9.9M in all, with buyers ahead by $504K. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour $-21,752 49.0% $1,145,475 6,546
4 Hours $-117,119 49.3% $8,714,064 63,339
1 Day $-1,464,695 47.7% $32,487,121 292,959
Is that normal for Avalanche?

The latest daily buy ratio of 47.7% sits at the 28th percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 49.3% - weaker buying than most days. Volume ran 1.63 times a typical day, busier than 75% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above AVAX's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$10.27 +4.71%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
346 +3.3%
Net Buy/Sell
+$230,547
Total Amount
$9,865,529 +4.4%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:19 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 16:10 $10.27 $52,161 Sell
2026-10-16 15:49 $10.27 $62,317 Sell
2026-10-16 15:17 $10.23 $33,243 Sell
2026-10-16 14:54 $10.25 $46,247 Sell
2026-10-16 14:54 $10.25 $65,395 Sell
2026-10-16 14:17 $10.28 $49,332 Buy
2026-10-16 14:15 $10.25 $38,402 Sell
2026-10-16 14:03 $10.26 $162,414 Sell
2026-10-16 13:59 $10.31 $41,250 Sell
2026-10-16 13:39 $10.35 $54,689 Sell
2026-10-16 13:27 $10.40 $32,298 Buy
2026-10-16 12:46 $10.37 $62,210 Sell
2026-10-16 12:44 $10.44 $72,436 Sell
2026-10-16 12:37 $10.52 $625,201 Buy
2026-10-16 12:37 $10.52 $39,251 Buy
2026-10-16 12:31 $10.44 $43,025 Buy
2026-10-16 12:23 $10.38 $35,143 Sell
2026-10-16 12:15 $10.36 $52,566 Buy
2026-10-16 12:15 $10.36 $58,708 Buy
2026-10-16 12:01 $10.36 $31,890 Sell
2026-10-16 11:58 $10.38 $44,478 Buy
2026-10-16 11:45 $10.34 $154,061 Buy
2026-10-16 11:36 $10.31 $124,786 Buy
2026-10-16 11:17 $10.26 $101,719 Buy
2026-10-16 10:16 $10.13 $64,033 Sell
2026-10-16 08:37 $10.12 $150,568 Buy
2026-10-16 07:51 $10.08 $50,042 Buy
2026-10-16 07:19 $10.11 $38,396 Buy
2026-10-16 06:23 $10.09 $34,504 Sell
2026-10-16 06:02 $10.00 $95,653 Sell
2026-10-16 06:02 $10.00 $314,181 Sell
2026-10-16 05:52 $10.07 $35,695 Buy
2026-10-16 05:35 $10.02 $35,038 Buy
2026-10-16 05:14 $10.03 $108,468 Buy
2026-10-16 05:00 $9.99 $38,332 Sell
2026-10-16 03:26 $10.00 $92,634 Sell
2026-10-16 00:58 $10.07 $84,260 Sell
2026-10-15 23:25 $10.01 $37,224 Sell
2026-10-15 23:22 $10.02 $59,391 Buy
2026-10-15 23:01 $9.98 $47,445 Buy
2026-10-15 22:55 $9.98 $509,900 Sell
2026-10-15 22:51 $10.03 $35,074 Sell
2026-10-15 21:21 $10.07 $60,764 Sell
2026-10-15 21:02 $10.04 $56,125 Buy
2026-10-15 20:54 $10.02 $90,104 Sell
2026-10-15 20:51 $10.02 $64,442 Buy
2026-10-15 20:42 $10.03 $48,380 Sell
2026-10-15 20:40 $10.01 $80,516 Buy
2026-10-15 20:37 $10.04 $49,754 Buy
2026-10-15 20:37 $10.04 $139,767 Buy

What Avalanche's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for AVAX, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $20M across 118,213 trades, which works out at about $169 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 47.69% against a median of 49.27%. That is the 28th percentile of the days measured, which makes it leaning, but within its normal range. Turnover came to $32.5M, 1.6 times the median day.

Net taker flow has not settled into a run: the side crossing the spread in greater size changed within the last three days.

The heaviest day on record is $151.4M on 20 September 2026, and the busiest by count is 1,556,381 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 23.04% on 19 September 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and AVAX can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Avalanche News

Each story read against AVAX's Binance order flow at the time it broke

Avalanche News Map - every story placed against the price →

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