Optimism

Optimism Accumulation/Distribution

OP · Rank #107
Price
$0.1426
Market Cap
$328,018,789
24h Volume
$130,620,513
Circulating Supply
2,299,624,975

What to expect next: OP move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

OP is likely to stay within ±8.1% over the next 24 hours, and within ±3.9% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±8.1%
$0.1306 – $0.1525
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±14.8%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±10.2%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±3.9%
$0.1359 – $0.1465
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±7.5%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±4.4%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Normal
Last 24h: 6.8% · 30-day typical day: 6.6%
calmestwildest
Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
1.1× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 1.1 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance OPUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
-4.2% a year
-0.0038% per 8h
month lowmonth high
Funding is negative: shorts are paying longs, so the crowd leans short. In our test this said nothing reliable about what came next.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Open interest
+143.1% 24h
Open interest is $19.1M, up 143.1% in 24 hours: positions are being opened on balance.
Too little history to test yet
Who is long
64% of top-trader positions
66% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.015%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.015%, 68th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
+4.7%
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the spot market were ahead by 4.7% of turnover over 24 hours, a strong reading for this coin (87th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
-0.7%
futures volume 5.7× spot
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the futures market were ahead by 0.7% of turnover over 24 hours, a strong reading for this coin (88th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
91 trades
0.6× the past week's daily pace
91 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $2.0M in all, with buyers ahead by $29.2K. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour +$48,761 53.0% $808,297 5,976
4 Hours $-19,461 49.3% $1,644,645 12,562
1 Day $-138,986 49.5% $14,324,830 120,497
Is that normal for Optimism?

The latest daily buy ratio of 49.5% sits at the 41st percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 50.1% - ordinary for this coin. Volume ran 3.64 times a typical day, busier than 93% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above OP's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$0.1431 +1.78%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
93 -44.6%
Net Buy/Sell
+$19,482
Total Amount
$2,060,828 -54.3%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:17 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 16:08 $0.1421 $37,502 Buy
2026-10-16 15:48 $0.1423 $30,466 Sell
2026-10-16 14:55 $0.1411 $61,594 Sell
2026-10-16 14:16 $0.1407 $45,997 Buy
2026-10-16 14:15 $0.1401 $61,626 Sell
2026-10-16 05:38 $0.1354 $34,357 Buy
2026-10-16 05:36 $0.1353 $38,171 Sell
2026-10-16 05:13 $0.1378 $42,530 Buy
2026-10-16 05:02 $0.1374 $50,437 Buy
2026-10-16 02:12 $0.1367 $70,455 Sell
2026-10-15 23:02 $0.1387 $52,615 Buy
2026-10-15 21:36 $0.1395 $32,427 Buy
2026-10-15 19:09 $0.1395 $38,120 Sell
2026-10-15 18:43 $0.1414 $50,432 Buy
2026-10-15 18:25 $0.1404 $46,592 Sell
2026-10-15 18:05 $0.1412 $32,384 Buy
2026-10-15 17:37 $0.1383 $105,688 Buy
2026-10-15 17:29 $0.1378 $38,940 Buy
2026-10-15 17:02 $0.1350 $36,806 Sell

What Optimism's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for OP, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $3.9M across 32,117 trades, which works out at about $123 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 49.47% against a median of 50.14%. That is the 41st percentile of the days measured, which makes it ordinary for this coin. Turnover came to $14.3M, 3.6 times the median day.

Net taker flow has not settled into a run: the side crossing the spread in greater size changed within the last three days.

The heaviest day on record is $28.9M on 19 February 2026, and the busiest by count is 213,468 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 21.08% on 13 October 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and OP can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Optimism News

Each story read against OP's Binance order flow at the time it broke

All OP news →

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