Filecoin

Filecoin Accumulation/Distribution

FIL · Rank #67
Price
$1.15
Market Cap
$962,550,497
24h Volume
$242,058,540
Circulating Supply
835,342,686

What to expect next: FIL move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

FIL is likely to stay within ±8.5% over the next 24 hours, and within ±4.3% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing. Funding shows crowded longs.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±8.5%
$1.07 – $1.26
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±15.6%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±10.8%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±4.3%
$1.11 – $1.21
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±8.3%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±4.8%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Normal
Last 24h: 8.3% · 30-day typical day: 6.7%
calmestwildest
Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
1.3× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 1.3 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance FILUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
11.0% a year
0.0100% per 8h
month lowmonth high
Longs are paying shorts more than at almost any point in the past month: positioning is crowded on the long side. In our test, readings this high came before the coin trailed the market by about 0.3% over the next day, on 15 of 19 coins - the most consistent pattern we found, but not strong enough to be called proven.
Tested: suggestive, not proven
Open interest
+150.4% 24h
Open interest is $64.1M, up 150.4% in 24 hours: positions are being opened on balance.
Too little history to test yet
Who is long
72% of top-trader positions
66% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.005%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.005%, 81st percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
+3.3%
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the spot market were ahead by 3.3% of turnover over 24 hours, a strong reading for this coin (84th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
+0.5%
futures volume 8.9× spot
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the futures market were ahead by 0.5% of turnover over 24 hours, an extreme reading for this coin (96th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
456 trades
1.0× the past week's daily pace
456 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $15.5M in all, with buyers ahead by $2.0M. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour $-60,695 44.5% $554,162 8,531
4 Hours +$78,267 51.8% $2,130,912 27,162
1 Day $-813,381 48.3% $26,229,059 331,637
Is that normal for Filecoin?

The latest daily buy ratio of 48.3% sits at the 40th percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 48.9% - ordinary for this coin. Volume ran 2.97 times a typical day, busier than 89% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above FIL's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$1.15 +4.47%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
462 +39.2%
Net Buy/Sell
+$1,908,488
Total Amount
$15,815,852 +61%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:12 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 15:57 $1.15 $58,226 Buy
2026-10-16 15:50 $1.15 $214,720 Sell
2026-10-16 15:13 $1.16 $39,557 Buy
2026-10-16 15:12 $1.16 $62,584 Buy
2026-10-16 14:58 $1.16 $54,073 Sell
2026-10-16 14:43 $1.16 $40,416 Sell
2026-10-16 14:35 $1.17 $41,015 Buy
2026-10-16 14:10 $1.16 $63,848 Buy
2026-10-16 14:03 $1.16 $77,070 Sell
2026-10-16 13:49 $1.16 $46,112 Buy
2026-10-16 13:45 $1.16 $37,782 Sell
2026-10-16 13:36 $1.16 $44,982 Buy
2026-10-16 13:25 $1.15 $212,616 Buy
2026-10-16 12:35 $1.15 $39,844 Buy
2026-10-16 11:06 $1.15 $88,895 Buy
2026-10-16 10:57 $1.15 $51,226 Sell
2026-10-16 10:48 $1.15 $47,932 Buy
2026-10-16 10:46 $1.15 $40,923 Buy
2026-10-16 10:43 $1.15 $144,184 Buy
2026-10-16 10:32 $1.14 $123,123 Buy
2026-10-16 10:24 $1.13 $78,281 Sell
2026-10-16 10:12 $1.14 $41,798 Sell
2026-10-16 10:06 $1.14 $105,880 Sell
2026-10-16 09:58 $1.14 $45,427 Buy
2026-10-16 09:57 $1.14 $52,457 Sell
2026-10-16 09:55 $1.14 $36,434 Sell
2026-10-16 09:45 $1.15 $60,308 Sell
2026-10-16 08:35 $1.15 $43,494 Sell
2026-10-16 08:11 $1.15 $71,732 Buy
2026-10-16 07:24 $1.15 $67,439 Sell
2026-10-16 07:11 $1.16 $70,694 Sell
2026-10-16 07:04 $1.16 $50,575 Buy
2026-10-16 06:18 $1.15 $46,820 Buy
2026-10-16 05:42 $1.14 $78,809 Sell
2026-10-16 05:42 $1.14 $2,049,152 Buy
2026-10-16 05:39 $1.15 $88,323 Sell
2026-10-16 05:33 $1.15 $199,523 Sell
2026-10-16 05:31 $1.15 $36,214 Buy
2026-10-16 05:31 $1.15 $40,404 Sell
2026-10-16 05:30 $1.15 $77,495 Sell
2026-10-16 05:18 $1.17 $105,478 Buy
2026-10-16 04:51 $1.16 $81,111 Buy
2026-10-16 04:40 $1.16 $38,886 Buy
2026-10-16 04:30 $1.15 $60,370 Sell
2026-10-16 04:30 $1.15 $59,225 Buy
2026-10-16 04:09 $1.14 $48,484 Sell
2026-10-16 04:04 $1.14 $40,645 Buy
2026-10-16 03:31 $1.15 $59,018 Buy
2026-10-16 03:21 $1.15 $98,732 Sell
2026-10-16 02:42 $1.16 $46,601 Buy

What Filecoin's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for FIL, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $8.8M across 55,609 trades, which works out at about $159 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 48.33% against a median of 48.88%. That is the 40th percentile of the days measured, which makes it ordinary for this coin. Turnover came to $26.2M, 3 times the median day.

Takers have leaned the same way for 4 days running, net selling throughout. The longest run in that direction this coin has had is 10 days. Over the last week the imbalance totals $7,109 on $141M of turnover, with the price up 8.58%.

The heaviest day on record is $451.6M on 7 November 2025, and the busiest by count is 2,259,223 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 77.63% on 7 November 2025.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and FIL can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Filecoin News

Each story read against FIL's Binance order flow at the time it broke

All FIL news →

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