Tezos

Tezos Accumulation/Distribution

XTZ · Rank #102
Price
$0.3163
Market Cap
$347,578,607
24h Volume
$9,684,177
Circulating Supply
1,098,948,689

What to expect next: XTZ move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

XTZ is likely to stay within ±6.3% over the next 24 hours, and within ±3.1% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing. Funding shows crowded longs.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±6.3%
$0.2961 – $0.3347
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±11.5%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±8.0%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±3.1%
$0.3053 – $0.3246
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±6.0%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±3.5%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Normal
Last 24h: 7.3% · 30-day typical day: 5.4%
calmestwildest
Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
0.5× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 0.5 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance XTZUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
11.0% a year
0.0050% per 4h
month lowmonth high
Longs are paying shorts more than at almost any point in the past month: positioning is crowded on the long side. In our test, readings this high came before the coin trailed the market by about 0.3% over the next day, on 15 of 19 coins - the most consistent pattern we found, but not strong enough to be called proven.
Tested: suggestive, not proven
Open interest
-18.5% 24h
Open interest is $3.4M, down 18.5% in 24 hours: positions are being closed on balance.
Too little history to test yet
Who is long
65% of top-trader positions
62% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
+0.000%
The perpetual trades above the index by 0.000%, 99th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
-19.1%
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the spot market were ahead by 19.1% of turnover over 24 hours, a strong reading for this coin (5th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
-0.9%
futures volume 5.1× spot
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the futures market were ahead by 0.9% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (68th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
3 trades
0.5× the past week's daily pace
3 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $68.3K in all, with buyers ahead by $23.0K. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour $-15,265 37.7% $62,132 647
4 Hours $-40,357 36.9% $154,356 1,716
1 Day $-127,664 44.0% $1,040,982 17,040
Is that normal for Tezos?

The latest daily buy ratio of 44.0% sits at the 8th percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 49.6% - among the weakest buying days it has had. Volume ran 1.60 times a typical day, busier than 73% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above XTZ's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$0.3163 +1.9%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
5 +0%
Net Buy/Sell
+$51,710
Total Amount
$136,920 +102.6%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:12 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 15:30 $0.3163 $48,653 Buy
2026-10-16 08:20 $0.3159 $26,843 Buy

What Tezos's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for XTZ, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $651,665 across 8,034 trades, which works out at about $81 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 43.97% against a median of 49.64%. That is the 8th percentile of the days measured, which makes it unusually one-sided towards selling for this coin. Turnover came to $1M, 1.6 times the median day.

Takers have leaned the same way for 3 days running, net selling throughout. The longest run in that direction this coin has had is 11 days. Over the last week the imbalance totals $121,609 on $8.2M of turnover, with the price up 8.3%.

The heaviest day on record is $21.6M on 19 September 2026, and the busiest by count is 221,526 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 24.1% on 19 September 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and XTZ can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Whalio analysis covering XTZ:

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Tezos News

Each story read against XTZ's Binance order flow at the time it broke

All XTZ news →

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