Solana

Solana Accumulation/Distribution

SOL · Rank #7
Price
$105.51
Market Cap
$62,178,785,313
24h Volume
$2,765,150,680
Circulating Supply
589,324,218

What to expect next: SOL move range and market state

Updated hourly · as of 16 Oct, 13:00 UTC

SOL is likely to stay within ±3.8% over the next 24 hours, and within ±1.9% over the next 4 - each band held about 80% of the time in testing.

Next 24 hours · likely range
±3.8%
$101.80 – $109.65
The price 24 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±6.8%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±4.8%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Next 4 hours · likely range
±1.9%
$103.73 – $107.61
The price 4 hours from now stayed inside this range 8 times in 10 in testing; 19 times in 20 inside ±3.6%. Along the way, 8 times in 10 it never strayed further than ±2.1%.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Volatility vs the past month
Normal
Last 24h: 3.8% · 30-day typical day: 3.0%
calmestwildest
Volatility over the last 24 hours is within the coin's usual range for the past month.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves
Trading volume
0.8× normal
last 24h vs 30-day daily average
Volume over the last 24 hours is 0.8 times the coin's 30-day daily average.
Tested: forecasts the size of moves

Futures and positioning · Binance SOLUSDT perpetual

Funding rate
9.1% a year
0.0083% per 8h
month lowmonth high
Longs are paying shorts 0.0083% every 8 hours (9.1% a year), 70th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Who is long
69% of top-trader positions
71% of all accounts are long
Long share of positions held by Binance's largest futures accounts, and of all accounts by number. Binance publishes only the last 30 days; Whalio keeps them from 12 October 2026.
Too little history to test yet
Perpetual premium
-0.053%
The perpetual trades below the index by 0.053%, 26th percentile of the past month.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

Who is pushing

Spot net flow, 24h
+7.3%
most sellingmost buying
Buyers on the spot market were ahead by 7.3% of turnover over 24 hours, a strong reading for this coin (91st percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Futures net flow, 24h
-1.2%
futures volume 8.2× spot
most sellingmost buying
Sellers on the futures market were ahead by 1.2% of turnover over 24 hours, within its usual range (56th percentile of the past month). In our test, readings like this said nothing about the next move's direction.
Tested: no predictive value for direction
Trades of $10K+, 24h
2,548 trades
1.0× the past week's daily pace
2,548 trades of $10,000 or more in 24 hours, $158M in all, with sellers ahead by $4.4M. In our test, which side large trades took said nothing reliable about the next move.
Tested: no predictive value for direction

The labels say what each reading was found to be good for when we tested Whalio's data against what prices did next. Ranges are statistical, not guarantees: roughly one 24-hour window in five ends outside its 80% range, and fast markets break ranges more often. Nothing here tells you what to buy or sell. Compare all coins.

Volume Delta & Buy Ratio

Period Volume Delta Buy Ratio Volume Trades
1 Hour +$306,401 51.6% $9,353,007 51,513
4 Hours +$8,268,653 60.9% $37,704,333 160,751
1 Day $-7,145,336 48.7% $295,229,806 977,782
Is that normal for Solana?

The latest daily buy ratio of 48.8% sits at the 27th percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 50.0% - weaker buying than most days. Volume ran 1.28 times a typical day, busier than 68% of the last 322.

Cumulative Volume Delta (24h)

Net difference between buying and selling pressure over the last 24 hours

Recent Large Buy/Sell Deals at Binance

Trades at least 10% above SOL's average impulse size over the last 7 days

Price
$105.75 +1.34%
Impulses (Last 24 Hours)
2,654 -17.1%
Net Buy/Sell
$-5,059,075
Total Amount
$163,382,441 -14.4%

Last impulse: 2026-10-16 16:23 · compared against the preceding last 24 hours

Time Price Amount Side
2026-10-16 16:22 $106.14 $359,308 Buy
2026-10-16 16:16 $106.18 $87,487 Buy
2026-10-16 16:15 $106.13 $181,154 Buy
2026-10-16 16:15 $106.09 $125,427 Sell
2026-10-16 16:15 $106.11 $137,241 Buy
2026-10-16 16:14 $105.95 $84,909 Sell
2026-10-16 16:14 $105.98 $288,195 Buy
2026-10-16 16:14 $105.95 $87,762 Buy
2026-10-16 16:13 $105.79 $90,732 Buy
2026-10-16 16:03 $105.71 $328,575 Buy
2026-10-16 16:02 $105.82 $92,816 Buy
2026-10-16 15:59 $105.72 $263,771 Buy
2026-10-16 15:58 $105.69 $327,340 Sell
2026-10-16 15:57 $105.65 $274,258 Sell
2026-10-16 15:56 $105.59 $93,263 Sell
2026-10-16 15:56 $105.59 $90,501 Sell
2026-10-16 15:55 $105.81 $184,482 Sell
2026-10-16 15:52 $105.40 $89,101 Sell
2026-10-16 15:51 $105.20 $194,454 Buy
2026-10-16 15:49 $105.46 $98,144 Sell
2026-10-16 15:47 $105.45 $72,467 Sell
2026-10-16 15:46 $105.45 $198,236 Sell
2026-10-16 15:46 $105.45 $80,438 Sell
2026-10-16 15:45 $105.54 $323,920 Buy
2026-10-16 15:43 $105.41 $472,813 Buy
2026-10-16 15:41 $105.33 $94,884 Buy
2026-10-16 15:40 $105.29 $333,055 Sell
2026-10-16 15:38 $105.34 $99,490 Buy
2026-10-16 15:37 $105.24 $86,743 Sell
2026-10-16 15:36 $105.34 $382,230 Buy
2026-10-16 15:33 $105.25 $115,334 Buy
2026-10-16 15:32 $105.36 $298,077 Sell
2026-10-16 15:30 $105.55 $84,639 Sell
2026-10-16 15:30 $105.55 $162,756 Sell
2026-10-16 15:27 $105.59 $95,680 Sell
2026-10-16 15:22 $105.65 $355,074 Buy
2026-10-16 15:22 $105.65 $89,340 Sell
2026-10-16 15:22 $105.65 $115,114 Buy
2026-10-16 15:14 $105.71 $350,012 Buy
2026-10-16 15:12 $105.58 $164,980 Buy
2026-10-16 15:09 $105.45 $182,216 Sell
2026-10-16 15:09 $105.45 $143,023 Sell
2026-10-16 15:08 $105.42 $323,868 Sell
2026-10-16 15:07 $105.44 $95,997 Sell
2026-10-16 15:06 $105.59 $154,811 Buy
2026-10-16 15:05 $105.45 $101,969 Buy
2026-10-16 15:03 $105.59 $87,606 Buy
2026-10-16 15:03 $105.59 $155,884 Sell
2026-10-16 14:59 $105.65 $82,969 Buy
2026-10-16 14:55 $105.69 $73,810 Buy

What Solana's order flow looks like

Whalio holds 322 days of Binance spot order flow for SOL, starting 2 November 2025. On a median day the pair turns over $230.6M across 856,903 trades, which works out at about $269 a trade.

On 15 October 2026, the most recent complete day, the buy ratio was 48.75% against a median of 50.03%. That is the 27th percentile of the days measured, which makes it leaning, but within its normal range. Turnover came to $295.2M, 1.3 times the median day.

Net taker flow has not settled into a run: the side crossing the spread in greater size changed within the last three days.

The heaviest day on record is $1.26bn on 4 November 2025, and the busiest by count is 5,439,611 trades. The largest single-day gain measured is 12.64% on 25 February 2026.

All of this is Binance spot only. The buy ratio counts which side crossed the spread, not who placed the order or why, and SOL can trade differently on another venue or in futures.

Figures recomputed after each daily close. The method is on the methodology page.

Price History

Latest Solana News

Each story read against SOL's Binance order flow at the time it broke

Solana News Map - every story placed against the price →

All SOL news →

Categories

← Back to Liquidity