TRUMP crypto drops 10% as short bias grows ahead of demand zone test
OFFICIAL TRUMP (TRUMP)
Editor:
Eugene Serbin
bitcoinethereumnews.com reports that Official Trump [TRUMP] has declined 10% in the last day, reversing a previous 34% monthly gain. This drop pushes the asset into a potential demand zone that has previously acted as resistance on three separate occasions. The last entry into this level caused a 32% loss, establishing the August low.
A rebound within this zone could target $3.00 to $3.40, while a failure might lead to a plummet toward Demand Zone 2. Bollinger Bands indicate the market is currently undervalued, with previous entries into the red band triggering rallies. Specifically, a drop to the red band on 18 August led to a local high of $3.66, a level last seen on 18 March 2026.
If this pattern repeats, prices might rally to between $2.35 and $2.72. However, the Money Flow Index (MFI) is at 54.41 and trending downward, signaling weak capital flow. The OI Weighted Funding Rate has dropped to -0.0221%, indicating heavy short positioning. With perpetual market Open Interest at $175.72 million, the market currently favors short traders until a clear catalyst emerges.
How the market reacted
Whalio's own Binance spot order flow for TRUMP, measured when this story was written up on 11 September 2026. Not the outlet's figures.
Whalio data shows TRUMP trading at $1.94 with a 1-hour buy ratio of 51.2% and a 4-hour buy ratio of 52.0%, indicating slight short-term buying pressure. This contrasts with the 24-hour buy ratio of 48.9%, suggesting that buying interest is fading over the longer timeframe. The 1-hour volume delta is positive at +$8,687, while the 4-hour delta is +$81,471, showing recent net inflows. However, the 24-hour volume delta is -$438,185, and the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD) closed at -$266,770, confirming net outflows over the day. These metrics imply that while immediate trading shows modest buying, the daily trend is dominated by sellers. The spot volume for the period was $20,045,892 across 127,897 trades.
The latest daily buy ratio of 50.0% sits at the 60th percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 49.4% - ordinary for this coin.
Was that an ordinary day?
The same Binance spot measurements for TRUMP, averaged over the days leading up to the story.
Over the preceding week, the average buy ratio was 50.0%, making the latest 24-hour ratio of 48.9% slightly lower by 1.1 points. Trading volume was 0.64x the average, indicating a quieter day than usual. Net buying occurred for only 3 of the 7 days, with a total volume delta of +$562,012 for the period. The price changed -18.8% over the 8-day window, reflecting a broader downtrend. This day is slightly less bullish than the weekly average but consistent with the overall weekly volume decline.