Fed Hike, Senate Bill Stall, and Deribit Expiry Shape Crypto Week
Cryptotimes.io reports that the week of September 21 to 27, 2026 serves as a digestion period following the Federal Reserve's 25-basis-point rate hike to 3.75%–4.00% on September 16. Chair Kevin Warsh stated the Committee was not yet confident underlying inflation was moving to the 2% goal at sufficient speed, with 16 of 18 participants penciling in at least one further increase before year-end. The Senate failed to invoke cloture on the Digital Asset Market Clarity Act by a 49-50 vote on September 15, stalling floor consideration despite a prior House passage.
Bitcoin trades near $81,300 after a midweek slide below $76,000 and a Friday rebound that pushed total crypto market capitalization toward $2.88 trillion. Liquidity is expected to concentrate around Friday’s Deribit quarterly expiry and how Wednesday’s flash Purchasing Managers’ Indices treat the Committee’s signal. The communications blackout lifted on September 17, making the speaker calendar the live Fed channel for the week.
Key data includes S&P Global’s September flash PMIs, with the US composite consensus near 55.2 and the euro-area composite near 51.7. Additional prints include August new home sales, jobless claims, and durable goods orders, with consensus expecting a 0.5% decline in advance durable goods. A hotter-than-expected PMI could keep October-hike odds bid, while a clear miss would lower the dollar and front-end yields. The week concludes with one of the year’s largest quarterly derivatives settlements on Friday.
How the market reacted
Whalio's own Binance spot order flow for XPL, measured when this story was written up on 21 September 2026. Not the outlet's figures.
Plasma XPL trades at $0.08925 with a 24-hour spot volume of $10,976,019 and 250,779 trades. The 1-hour buy ratio sits at 56.4%, indicating strong short-term buying pressure, while the 4-hour ratio of 48.5% suggests the immediate momentum is slightly less dominant than the hourly snapshot. Over the last 24 hours, the buy ratio averages 51.0%, showing a balanced but slightly bullish sentiment. The 1-hour volume delta is positive at $55,625, contrasting with a negative 4-hour delta of -$120,223, which implies that recent buying has offset earlier selling pressure. The 24-hour volume delta is +$235,382, and the Cumulative Volume Delta closed at +$593,629, confirming net buying over the day. Buyers dominated 16 of the 24 hours, reinforcing the positive flow trend.
The latest daily buy ratio of 50.2% sits at the 66th percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 49.2% - ordinary for this coin.
Was that an ordinary day?
The same Binance spot measurements for XPL, averaged over the days leading up to the story.
Compared to the preceding week, today’s 24-hour buy ratio of 51.0% is marginally lower than the 7-day average of 51.3%, representing a difference of 0.3 percentage points. Trading volume is 1.28 times the weekly average, indicating an unusually active day for the asset. The coin has gained 14.7% over the past eight days, supported by a total volume delta of +$2,327,461. While buying pressure is slightly softer on the hourly scale than the weekly norm, the elevated volume and positive delta suggest sustained interest. This is an unusual day for the coin due to the significantly higher volume relative to its average, despite the buy ratio remaining near its weekly baseline.