HBAR surges 27% on IBM and AI security catalysts
Hedera (HBAR)
Editor:
Eugene Serbin
Lookonchain.com reports that Hedera’s HBAR token jumped over 27% in 24 hours, briefly breaking $0.13 before settling at $0.122. The rally was driven by the addition of Hedera’s IDTrust identity solution to the IBM Cloud catalog, targeting enterprise clients and AI Agent identities. Market participants also interpreted a council member’s appearance on NVIDIA’s Open Agent Safety list as an entry into the AI security sector.
Additional tailwinds included rumors of Lloyds Bank’s tokenized Treasury bonds and BlackRock’s money fund shares going on-chain. HBAR was also included in a UK wholesale digital market working group, further supporting its rise. Meanwhile, Numerai’s NMR led the broader altcoin market with a 40% surge, hitting $15.5 before trading at $14.1.
This move is viewed as a catch-up rally under the AI and institutional narrative, following earlier gains for tokens like QNT. NMR broke out of a $9–$10 consolidation range with expanding volume, supported by $700 million in assets under management. The protocol has repurchased approximately $3.2 million worth of NMR over the past year and adopted a new on-chain staking mechanism. Other notable market activity included a trader profiting $448K from Binance listings and a $PEPE whale moving 2.1 trillion tokens worth $52 million.
How the market reacted
Whalio's own Binance spot order flow for HBAR, measured when this story was written up on 29 September 2026. Not the outlet's figures.
HBAR is trading at $0.1221 with a 24-hour buy ratio of 49.4%, indicating nearly balanced buying and selling pressure. However, the 1-hour buy ratio has dropped to 38.4%, suggesting that immediate buying interest is weakening compared to the longer timeframe. The 4-hour buy ratio stands at 47.4%, which is slightly lower than the daily average, showing a gradual decline in buyer dominance. Volume delta data reveals net selling pressure, with a 24-hour delta of -$2,157,698 and a 1-hour delta of -$1,119,268. This negative delta means that sell volume has exceeded buy volume over these periods. The cumulative volume delta (CVD) for the 24-hour close is -$3,652,841, confirming that sellers have been more aggressive than buyers recently.
The latest daily buy ratio of 52.0% sits at the 84th percentile of the last 323 days, against a median of 49.2% - stronger buying than most days.
Was that an ordinary day?
The same Binance spot measurements for HBAR, averaged over the days leading up to the story.
Over the preceding week, HBAR experienced a 30.7% price increase, with spot volume reaching 10.40 times the average. Despite this surge, the 7-day average buy ratio was 50.1%, which is only 0.6 percentage points higher than today’s 24-hour reading. This indicates that while volume has spiked dramatically, the balance of buyers versus sellers remains largely consistent with recent trends. Net buying occurred on 3 of the past 7 days, with a total volume delta of -$1,665,291 for the period. Today’s activity represents a high-volume day relative to the norm, but the buying pressure has not intensified significantly beyond the weekly average.