XRP Prediction Markets Price $2 Reclaim by Late 2027
XRP (XRP)
Editor:
Eugene Serbin
bitcoinethereumnews.com reports that prediction markets are assigning a 67% probability that XRP will reclaim the $2 level before the end of 2027. Traders currently see the highest odds of a breakout by December 31, 2027, with the probability standing at 61% by June 30, 2027, and 59% by September 30, 2027. The odds drop to 48% by March 31, 2027, and remain considerably lower for 2026 at just 6% by September 30 and 23% by December 31.
This outlook suggests participants expect XRP to take several more quarters to mount a sustained move above $2, a level well above the token’s current trading range below $1.50. The prediction market data was retrieved by Finbold on September 6. Cryptocurrency analyst Ali Martinez identified a decade-long ascending triangle pattern on the monthly chart.
He argued that a monthly close above $3.66 would confirm a breakout and potentially open the door to significantly higher price targets. While $3.66 is the primary technical hurdle, XRP must first reclaim $2 before challenging higher resistance zones. Recent activity shows elevated trading volumes through August despite the token pulling back from highs near $1.70.
At press time, XRP was trading at $1.42, up about 1% in the past 24 hours and nearly 2% on the weekly timeframe. The token trades above its 50-day SMA at $1.17 and its 200-day SMA at $1.27, indicating a bullish medium- and long-term trend. Momentum is supportive with a 14-day RSI at 60.37, suggesting room to advance before the 70 level that signals overheating.
How the market reacted
Whalio's own Binance spot order flow for XRP, measured when this story was written up on 6 September 2026. Not the outlet's figures.
XRP is trading at $1.41 on Binance spot, with a 1-hour buy ratio of 57.0% indicating immediate bullish pressure. However, this short-term strength contrasts with a 4-hour buy ratio of 43.3%, suggesting that buying momentum is fading over a slightly longer timeframe. The 24-hour buy ratio sits at 49.8%, showing a near-even split in order flow over the full day. Volume delta reflects this divergence, with a positive $318,385 in the last hour against a negative $3,085,616 over four hours. Over 24 hours, the volume delta is -$418,904, and the cumulative volume delta (CVD) at the close is -$3,715,563. This negative delta indicates that sellers have dominated the total volume over the day, despite the recent hourly uptick.
The latest daily buy ratio of 50.6% sits at the 83rd percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 48.5% - stronger buying than most days.
Was that an ordinary day?
The same Binance spot measurements for XRP, averaged over the days leading up to the story.
Comparing today's activity to the preceding week reveals a shift in trading intensity. The 24-hour spot volume of $104,518,243 is only 0.63x the weekly average, indicating a notably quieter trading day than usual. The 24-hour buy ratio of 49.8% is slightly below the 7-day average of 50.4%, falling by 0.5 percentage points. While the weekly volume delta was positive at $8,298,559, today's negative delta suggests a reversal of that broader trend. Only 4 of the past 7 days saw net buying, making this a mixed but generally less active period for the asset.