XRP Price Contracts Certified by CFTC on Polymarket US
XRP (XRP)
Editor:
Eugene Serbin
Blockchainmedia.id reports that XRP has joined Bitcoin and Ethereum in the US-regulated prediction market space after Polymarket US filed new contracts with the CFTC. On October 6, 2026, the CFTC database listed XRP Price Contracts with the code CPCXRP as Certified, categorizing them as binary event contracts. The filing was submitted by QCX LLC, which operates as Polymarket US, a Designated Contract Market registered with the regulator.
The first specific contract asks whether XRP will trade above $1.50 at 14:30 ET on October 30, 2026. Each contract has a $1 notional value and requires 100 percent margin, with a position accountability level of $25,000. Settlement relies on the XRP-Dollar Real Time Index from CF Benchmarks Ltd., using a simple average of prices over 60 seconds.
Polymarket also registered a class of contracts (CPCXRPD) allowing for various price conditions and timeframes, from five minutes to annually. This follows the August 26 certification of Bitcoin, Ether, and Solana contracts, expanding the platform's regulated asset catalog. The move occurs as the CFTC opened a public comment period for broader digital asset regulations on October 5. At the time of reporting, XRP traded around $1.50 with a market cap of $95.2 billion.
How the market reacted
Whalio's own Binance spot order flow for XRP, measured when this story was written up on 6 October 2026. Not the outlet's figures.
XRP is currently trading at $1.51 on Binance, showing a 1-hour buy ratio of 58.5% and a 4-hour buy ratio of 54.8%. These short-term figures indicate stronger buying pressure compared to the 24-hour buy ratio of 46.5%, suggesting that recent volume has been dominated by buyers. The 1-hour volume delta is positive at $620,526, while the 4-hour delta is $1,266,024, confirming net inflows in the immediate term. However, the 24-hour volume delta is negative at -$10,517,162, indicating that over the full day, sellers have outweighed buyers. The cumulative volume delta for the 24-hour period closed at -$9,638,042. Despite the daily net outflow, the shift toward buying in the last few hours shows a potential reversal or accumulation phase.
The latest daily buy ratio of 50.6% sits at the 83rd percentile of the last 322 days, against a median of 48.5% - stronger buying than most days.
Was that an ordinary day?
The same Binance spot measurements for XRP, averaged over the days leading up to the story.
Over the preceding week, XRP experienced a 7-day average buy ratio of 49.4%, making today's 24-hour ratio of 46.5% slightly below the weekly norm by 2.9 percentage points. Trading volume today was 0.73 times the weekly average, indicating a quieter day than usual. The coin saw only 2 days of net buying out of the past 7, with a total 8-day volume delta of -$27,613,584. Price changed by just +0.7% over the 8-day period, reflecting low volatility. This suggests that while short-term buying has picked up, the broader weekly trend remains characterized by net selling and subdued activity.